UConn vs Air Force CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for UConn at Air Force. 2026-10-31 19:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #36. Line unavailable.
UConn playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Air Force playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- New Mexico: 1.7% outcome swing; Air Force wins
- Arizona: 0.9% outcome swing; Air Force wins
- James Madison: 0.6% outcome swing; UConn wins
- Boise State: 0.4% outcome swing; UConn wins
- UTSA: 0.4% outcome swing; UConn wins
Impacts if UConn wins
- New Mexico: -1.0% change; Air Force wins
- Arizona: -0.5% change; Air Force wins
- James Madison: 0.4% change; UConn wins
- UTSA: 0.4% change; UConn wins
- Alabama: -0.3% change; Air Force wins
Impacts if Air Force wins
- New Mexico: 0.7% change; Air Force wins
- Arizona: 0.4% change; Air Force wins
- Boise State: -0.3% change; UConn wins
- Alabama: -0.2% change; Air Force wins
- James Madison: -0.2% change; UConn wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | UConn wins | Air Force wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | Air Force wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 23.5% | 24.4% | 0.9% | Air Force wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | UConn wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 63.9% | 63.5% | 0.4% | UConn wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 0.4% | UConn wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% | Air Force wins |
| Louisville | ACC | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | UConn wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 37.5% | 37.4% | 37.7% | 0.3% | Air Force wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 0.3% | UConn wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 0.3% | UConn wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 45.1% | 44.9% | 0.2% | UConn wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 95.3% | 95.5% | 95.3% | 0.2% | UConn wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 0.2% | Air Force wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 49.6% | 49.7% | 0.1% | Air Force wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% | Air Force wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.1% | 62.0% | 0.1% | UConn wins |
| Duke | ACC | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | UConn wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 91.9% | 92.0% | 0.1% | Air Force wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 37.7% | 37.8% | 0.1% | Air Force wins |
| Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | UConn wins |