Memphis vs Tulane CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Memphis at Tulane . 2026-10-16 23:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #16. Memphis -6.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
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Path Current With win With loss CFP 3.9% 5.4% 0.5% Automatic bid 3.5% 4.8% 0.5% Conference title game 59.0% 68.8% 38.0%
Tulane playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 7.1% 14.7% 2.3%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings James Madison : 2.6% outcome swing; Tulane winsUTSA : 1.4% outcome swing; Tulane winsBoise State : 1.3% outcome swing; Memphis winsOregon State : 0.7% outcome swing; Tulane winsOregon : 0.6% outcome swing; Memphis winsImpacts if Memphis wins James Madison : -0.7% change; Tulane winsUTSA : -0.6% change; Tulane winsBoise State : 0.4% change; Memphis winsMissouri : -0.3% change; Tulane winsUSC : 0.3% change; Either outcomeBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Memphis wins Tulane wins Swing Better outcome Memphis American Athletic 3.9% 5.4% 0.5% 4.9% Memphis wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 9.2% 11.8% 2.6% Tulane wins UTSA American Athletic 6.8% 6.2% 7.6% 1.4% Tulane wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 69.9% 68.6% 1.3% Memphis wins Oregon State Pac-12 3.8% 3.6% 4.3% 0.7% Tulane wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 18.0% 17.4% 0.6% Memphis wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.1% 16.6% 0.5% Tulane wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.4% 87.0% 0.4% Memphis wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 36.5% 36.8% 0.3% Tulane wins New Mexico Mountain West 3.8% 3.7% 4.0% 0.3% Tulane wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.3% 4.6% 0.3% Tulane wins Fresno State Pac-12 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% Tulane wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 13.9% 14.1% 0.2% Tulane wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 78.7% 78.9% 0.2% Tulane wins Army American Athletic 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% Tulane wins Cincinnati Big 12 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.1% Memphis wins Duke ACC 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1% Tulane wins Georgia SEC 96.4% 96.4% 96.5% 0.1% Tulane wins Georgia State Sun Belt 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% Tulane wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 42.0% 42.1% 0.1% Tulane wins