Florida Atlantic vs Army CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 7 pregame analysis for Florida Atlantic at Army. 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #47. Army -2.5.

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Florida Atlantic playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game3.4%7.2%1.6%

Army playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.6%0.8%0.0%
Automatic bid0.6%0.8%0.0%
Conference title game11.7%14.8%3.3%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Memphis: 0.9% outcome swing; Army wins
  2. UTSA: 0.9% outcome swing; Florida Atlantic wins
  3. Kentucky: 0.5% outcome swing; Florida Atlantic wins
  4. Oregon State: 0.3% outcome swing; Florida Atlantic wins
  5. BYU: 0.2% outcome swing; Army wins

Impacts if Florida Atlantic wins

  1. UTSA: 0.8% change; Florida Atlantic wins
  2. Kentucky: 0.5% change; Florida Atlantic wins
  3. Memphis: -0.5% change; Army wins
  4. Boise State: -0.3% change; Either outcome
  5. Oregon State: 0.3% change; Florida Atlantic wins

Impacts if Army wins

  1. Memphis: 0.4% change; Army wins
  2. Boise State: -0.3% change; Either outcome
  3. LSU: -0.2% change; Florida Atlantic wins
  4. BYU: 0.1% change; Army wins
  5. Indiana: -0.1% change; Florida Atlantic wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentFlorida Atlantic winsArmy winsSwingBetter outcome
MemphisAmerican Athletic3.9%3.4%4.3%0.9%Army wins
UTSAAmerican Athletic6.8%7.6%6.7%0.9%Florida Atlantic wins
ArmyAmerican Athletic0.6%0.0%0.8%0.8%Army wins
KentuckySEC13.9%14.4%13.9%0.5%Florida Atlantic wins
Oregon StatePac-123.8%4.1%3.8%0.3%Florida Atlantic wins
BYUBig 1236.5%36.4%36.6%0.2%Army wins
HoustonBig 1242.0%41.8%42.0%0.2%Army wins
IndianaBig Ten87.5%87.6%87.4%0.2%Florida Atlantic wins
James MadisonSun Belt9.9%10.1%9.9%0.2%Florida Atlantic wins
LSUSEC18.1%18.1%17.9%0.2%Florida Atlantic wins
MiamiACC95.1%95.0%95.2%0.2%Army wins
NebraskaBig Ten18.5%18.3%18.5%0.2%Army wins
Ohio StateBig Ten78.7%78.6%78.8%0.2%Army wins
Oklahoma StateBig 124.3%4.5%4.3%0.2%Florida Atlantic wins
Ole MissSEC19.2%19.4%19.2%0.2%Florida Atlantic wins
South FloridaAmerican Athletic0.4%0.2%0.4%0.2%Army wins
AlabamaSEC77.1%77.2%77.1%0.1%Florida Atlantic wins
CincinnatiBig 121.0%0.9%1.0%0.1%Army wins
FloridaSEC3.0%3.1%3.0%0.1%Florida Atlantic wins
GeorgiaSEC96.4%96.5%96.4%0.1%Florida Atlantic wins