Navy vs UTSA CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Navy at UTSA . 2026-10-18 00:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #20. UTSA -6.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
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Navy playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 2.3% 4.1% 0.1%
UTSA playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 6.8% 7.8% 1.9% Automatic bid 6.7% 7.5% 1.9% Conference title game 37.7% 42.6% 19.0%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings James Madison : 1.9% outcome swing; Navy winsBoise State : 1.6% outcome swing; Navy winsMemphis : 1.0% outcome swing; Navy winsNew Mexico : 0.8% outcome swing; Navy winsLSU : 0.5% outcome swing; UTSA winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Navy wins UTSA wins Swing Better outcome UTSA American Athletic 6.8% 1.9% 7.8% 5.9% UTSA wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 11.7% 9.8% 1.9% Navy wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 71.1% 69.5% 1.6% Navy wins Memphis American Athletic 3.9% 4.7% 3.7% 1.0% Navy wins New Mexico Mountain West 3.8% 4.3% 3.5% 0.8% Navy wins LSU SEC 18.1% 17.7% 18.2% 0.5% UTSA wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 18.9% 18.4% 0.5% Navy wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.0% 16.4% 0.4% UTSA wins Notre Dame FBS Independents 98.4% 98.6% 98.2% 0.4% Navy wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 14.4% 14.8% 0.4% UTSA wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 18.9% 18.5% 0.4% Navy wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 18.6% 18.3% 0.3% Navy wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 79.0% 78.7% 0.3% Navy wins Oregon State Pac-12 3.8% 4.0% 3.7% 0.3% Navy wins Oklahoma SEC 14.5% 14.3% 14.5% 0.2% UTSA wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 18.1% 17.9% 0.2% Navy wins South Florida American Athletic 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% UTSA wins Texas SEC 83.7% 83.5% 83.7% 0.2% UTSA wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 25.6% 25.8% 0.2% UTSA wins Wisconsin Big Ten 7.6% 7.8% 7.6% 0.2% Navy wins