Florida Atlantic vs North Texas CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Florida Atlantic at North Texas. 2026-10-29 23:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #39. North Texas -12.5.
Florida Atlantic playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 1.0% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
North Texas playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 4.7% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Automatic bid | 4.7% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Conference title game | 67.0% | 70.8% | 40.4% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Indiana: 1.4% outcome swing; North Texas wins
- Boise State: 1.1% outcome swing; Florida Atlantic wins
- UTSA: 0.9% outcome swing; Florida Atlantic wins
- New Mexico: 0.8% outcome swing; Florida Atlantic wins
- Georgia: 0.7% outcome swing; Florida Atlantic wins
Impacts if Florida Atlantic wins
- Boise State: 1.3% change; Florida Atlantic wins
- Indiana: -1.1% change; North Texas wins
- New Mexico: 0.9% change; Florida Atlantic wins
- Georgia: 0.7% change; Florida Atlantic wins
- Alabama: 0.6% change; Florida Atlantic wins
Impacts if North Texas wins
- Indiana: 0.3% change; North Texas wins
- UTSA: -0.3% change; Florida Atlantic wins
- Boise State: 0.2% change; Florida Atlantic wins
- BYU: -0.2% change; North Texas wins
- Utah: -0.2% change; Florida Atlantic wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Florida Atlantic wins | North Texas wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | American Athletic | 4.7% | 0.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | North Texas wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 90.8% | 92.2% | 1.4% | North Texas wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 65.1% | 64.0% | 1.1% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.7% | 19.8% | 0.9% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 82.7% | 82.0% | 0.7% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 50.5% | 49.9% | 0.6% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | North Texas wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 43.8% | 44.4% | 0.6% | North Texas wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 38.1% | 37.8% | 0.3% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 45.3% | 45.0% | 0.3% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 71.8% | 71.5% | 0.3% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| Auburn | SEC | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 37.9% | 37.7% | 0.2% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 0.2% | Florida Atlantic wins |
| Northwestern | Big Ten | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 0.2% | North Texas wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 37.5% | 37.7% | 37.5% | 0.2% | Florida Atlantic wins |