Tulane vs Charlotte CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Tulane at Charlotte. 2026-10-30 23:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #44. Tulane -13.5.
Tulane playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Charlotte playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- UTSA: 2.2% outcome swing; Tulane wins
- Boise State: 1.1% outcome swing; Charlotte wins
- Ole Miss: 1.0% outcome swing; Charlotte wins
- Arizona: 0.9% outcome swing; Tulane wins
- Georgia: 0.7% outcome swing; Charlotte wins
Impacts if Tulane wins
- UTSA: 0.6% change; Tulane wins
- Ole Miss: -0.3% change; Charlotte wins
- Arizona: 0.1% change; Tulane wins
- Boise State: -0.1% change; Charlotte wins
- Georgia: -0.1% change; Charlotte wins
Impacts if Charlotte wins
- UTSA: -1.6% change; Tulane wins
- Boise State: 1.0% change; Charlotte wins
- Arizona: -0.8% change; Tulane wins
- Ole Miss: 0.7% change; Charlotte wins
- Georgia: 0.6% change; Charlotte wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Tulane wins | Charlotte wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.7% | 18.5% | 2.2% | Tulane wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 63.7% | 64.8% | 1.1% | Charlotte wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 37.5% | 37.2% | 38.2% | 1.0% | Charlotte wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 24.1% | 23.2% | 0.9% | Tulane wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 81.9% | 82.6% | 0.7% | Charlotte wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 44.8% | 45.4% | 0.6% | Charlotte wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 50.9% | 50.3% | 0.6% | Tulane wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.1% | 61.7% | 0.4% | Tulane wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 0.4% | Charlotte wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 44.2% | 44.6% | 0.4% | Charlotte wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | Tulane wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 37.7% | 37.4% | 0.3% | Tulane wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | Charlotte wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 71.7% | 71.4% | 0.3% | Tulane wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 37.8% | 38.0% | 0.2% | Charlotte wins |
| Louisville | ACC | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | Charlotte wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | Charlotte wins |
| Nebraska | Big Ten | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 0.2% | Tulane wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 0.2% | Tulane wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 49.9% | 50.0% | 0.1% | Charlotte wins |