Charlotte vs UAB CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 10 pregame analysis for Charlotte at UAB. 2026-11-07 20:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #34. Line unavailable.

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Charlotte playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

UAB playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.2%0.2%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Ole Miss: 2.1% outcome swing; Charlotte wins
  2. UTSA: 1.0% outcome swing; UAB wins
  3. Boise State: 0.6% outcome swing; Charlotte wins
  4. UCLA: 0.6% outcome swing; UAB wins
  5. Ohio State: 0.5% outcome swing; UAB wins

Impacts if Charlotte wins

  1. Ole Miss: 1.7% change; Charlotte wins
  2. UTSA: -0.9% change; UAB wins
  3. Boise State: 0.6% change; Charlotte wins
  4. UCLA: -0.5% change; UAB wins
  5. Ohio State: -0.4% change; UAB wins

Impacts if UAB wins

  1. Ole Miss: -0.4% change; Charlotte wins
  2. Alabama: -0.1% change; UAB wins
  3. BYU: 0.1% change; UAB wins
  4. Florida: 0.1% change; UAB wins
  5. Missouri: -0.1% change; Charlotte wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentCharlotte winsUAB winsSwingBetter outcome
Ole MissSEC50.4%52.1%50.0%2.1%Charlotte wins
UTSAAmerican Athletic20.1%19.2%20.2%1.0%UAB wins
Boise StatePac-1256.8%57.4%56.8%0.6%Charlotte wins
UCLABig Ten45.5%45.0%45.6%0.6%UAB wins
Ohio StateBig Ten69.8%69.4%69.9%0.5%UAB wins
IndianaBig Ten88.9%88.6%88.9%0.3%UAB wins
BYUBig 1251.4%51.3%51.5%0.2%UAB wins
IowaBig Ten12.7%12.5%12.7%0.2%UAB wins
TennesseeSEC26.2%26.1%26.3%0.2%UAB wins
TexasSEC62.2%62.4%62.2%0.2%Charlotte wins
Texas TechBig 1244.8%44.9%44.7%0.2%Charlotte wins
USCBig Ten9.1%9.0%9.2%0.2%UAB wins
AlabamaSEC76.5%76.3%76.4%0.1%UAB wins
ArizonaBig 1212.4%12.3%12.4%0.1%UAB wins
FloridaSEC4.5%4.5%4.6%0.1%UAB wins
LibertyConference USA3.8%3.9%3.8%0.1%Charlotte wins
LSUSEC49.1%49.2%49.1%0.1%Charlotte wins
MissouriSEC7.0%7.0%6.9%0.1%Charlotte wins
New MexicoMountain West18.1%18.2%18.1%0.1%Charlotte wins
Notre DameFBS Independents87.7%87.6%87.7%0.1%UAB wins