Rice vs North Texas CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Rice at North Texas. 2026-11-07 21:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #37. Line unavailable.
Rice playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
North Texas playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 76.1% | 78.2% | 47.9% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Liberty: 2.0% outcome swing; Rice wins
- Boise State: 1.6% outcome swing; Rice wins
- Indiana: 1.5% outcome swing; North Texas wins
- UTSA: 1.4% outcome swing; North Texas wins
- Notre Dame: 0.8% outcome swing; Rice wins
Impacts if Rice wins
- Liberty: 1.9% change; Rice wins
- Boise State: 1.5% change; Rice wins
- Indiana: -1.4% change; North Texas wins
- UTSA: -1.3% change; North Texas wins
- Notre Dame: 0.7% change; Rice wins
Impacts if North Texas wins
- Alabama: -0.1% change; Rice wins
- Boise State: -0.1% change; Rice wins
- BYU: 0.1% change; Rice wins
- Indiana: 0.1% change; North Texas wins
- Iowa: -0.1% change; Rice wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Rice wins | North Texas wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | American Athletic | 3.1% | 0.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | North Texas wins |
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | Rice wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 58.3% | 56.7% | 1.6% | Rice wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 87.5% | 89.0% | 1.5% | North Texas wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 1.4% | North Texas wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 88.4% | 87.6% | 0.8% | Rice wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.9% | 45.3% | 0.6% | Rice wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.8% | 76.4% | 0.4% | Rice wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 18.1% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 0.3% | Rice wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.7% | 51.5% | 0.2% | Rice wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 0.2% | Rice wins |
| Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Rice wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 45.3% | 45.5% | 0.2% | North Texas wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 0.1% | Rice wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 26.3% | 26.2% | 26.3% | 0.1% | North Texas wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.0% | 49.1% | 0.1% | North Texas wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | Rice wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.7% | 98.8% | 98.7% | 0.1% | Rice wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 0.1% | North Texas wins |
| Ohio | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | Rice wins |