East Carolina vs Charlotte CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 11 pregame analysis for East Carolina at Charlotte. 2026-11-14 18:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #53. Line unavailable.

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East Carolina playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game5.1%5.5%0.5%

Charlotte playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Ole Miss: 1.6% outcome swing; Charlotte wins
  2. Tennessee: 0.7% outcome swing; East Carolina wins
  3. Texas: 0.4% outcome swing; Charlotte wins
  4. Alabama: 0.3% outcome swing; East Carolina wins
  5. LSU: 0.3% outcome swing; East Carolina wins

Impacts if East Carolina wins

  1. Ole Miss: -0.2% change; Charlotte wins
  2. Alabama: 0.1% change; East Carolina wins
  3. LSU: 0.1% change; East Carolina wins
  4. Air Force: 0.0% change; Either outcome
  5. Akron: 0.0% change; Either outcome

Impacts if Charlotte wins

  1. Ole Miss: 1.4% change; Charlotte wins
  2. Tennessee: -0.7% change; East Carolina wins
  3. Texas: 0.4% change; Charlotte wins
  4. North Texas: 0.3% change; Charlotte wins
  5. Alabama: -0.2% change; East Carolina wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentEast Carolina winsCharlotte winsSwingBetter outcome
Ole MissSEC11.5%11.3%12.9%1.6%Charlotte wins
TennesseeSEC53.9%53.9%53.2%0.7%East Carolina wins
TexasSEC73.4%73.4%73.8%0.4%Charlotte wins
AlabamaSEC96.6%96.7%96.4%0.3%East Carolina wins
LSUSEC18.7%18.8%18.5%0.3%East Carolina wins
North TexasAmerican Athletic2.4%2.4%2.7%0.3%Charlotte wins
IndianaBig Ten82.0%82.0%82.2%0.2%Charlotte wins
Ohio StateBig Ten21.3%21.3%21.1%0.2%East Carolina wins
OregonBig Ten28.3%28.3%28.1%0.2%East Carolina wins
ArizonaBig 1217.3%17.3%17.2%0.1%East Carolina wins
Boise StatePac-1266.4%66.4%66.3%0.1%East Carolina wins
BYUBig 1242.3%42.3%42.2%0.1%East Carolina wins
IowaBig Ten24.7%24.7%24.6%0.1%East Carolina wins
LibertyConference USA3.2%3.2%3.1%0.1%East Carolina wins
MissouriSEC0.7%0.7%0.6%0.1%East Carolina wins
New MexicoMountain West27.9%27.9%27.8%0.1%East Carolina wins
South CarolinaSEC10.6%10.6%10.5%0.1%East Carolina wins
Texas TechBig 1234.9%34.9%34.8%0.1%East Carolina wins
UtahBig 1294.2%94.2%94.1%0.1%East Carolina wins
Air ForceMountain West0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome