Tulane vs Rice CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 11 pregame analysis for Tulane at Rice. 2026-11-14 19:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #56. Line unavailable.

Back to National Impact

Tulane playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Rice playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. BYU: 0.2% outcome swing; Rice wins
  2. Boise State: 0.2% outcome swing; Rice wins
  3. Iowa: 0.2% outcome swing; Rice wins
  4. Ole Miss: 0.2% outcome swing; Tulane wins
  5. Oregon: 0.2% outcome swing; Rice wins

Impacts if Tulane wins

  1. Arizona: 0.1% change; Tulane wins
  2. Boise State: -0.1% change; Rice wins
  3. BYU: -0.1% change; Rice wins
  4. Houston: 0.1% change; Tulane wins
  5. Iowa: -0.1% change; Rice wins

Impacts if Rice wins

  1. Ole Miss: -0.2% change; Tulane wins
  2. Oregon: 0.2% change; Rice wins
  3. Tennessee: -0.2% change; Tulane wins
  4. Boise State: 0.1% change; Rice wins
  5. BYU: 0.1% change; Rice wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentTulane winsRice winsSwingBetter outcome
Boise StatePac-1266.4%66.3%66.5%0.2%Rice wins
BYUBig 1242.3%42.2%42.4%0.2%Rice wins
IowaBig Ten24.7%24.6%24.8%0.2%Rice wins
Ole MissSEC11.5%11.5%11.3%0.2%Tulane wins
OregonBig Ten28.3%28.3%28.5%0.2%Rice wins
TennesseeSEC53.9%53.9%53.7%0.2%Tulane wins
Wake ForestACC45.8%45.9%45.7%0.2%Tulane wins
ArizonaBig 1217.3%17.4%17.3%0.1%Tulane wins
HoustonBig 1245.3%45.4%45.3%0.1%Tulane wins
IndianaBig Ten82.0%82.0%82.1%0.1%Rice wins
LibertyConference USA3.2%3.2%3.1%0.1%Tulane wins
LSUSEC18.7%18.7%18.6%0.1%Tulane wins
New MexicoMountain West27.9%27.9%27.8%0.1%Tulane wins
North TexasAmerican Athletic2.4%2.4%2.5%0.1%Rice wins
TexasSEC73.4%73.4%73.5%0.1%Rice wins
UCLABig Ten65.3%65.2%65.3%0.1%Rice wins
UtahBig 1294.2%94.2%94.1%0.1%Tulane wins
Air ForceMountain West0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AkronMid-American0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AlabamaSEC96.6%96.6%96.6%0.0%Either outcome