Nevada vs North Dakota State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Nevada at North Dakota State . 2026-10-17 23:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #44. North Dakota State -15.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
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Nevada playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 2.2% 6.8% 0.5%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 43.7% 51.0% 13.7%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings UCLA : 3.0% outcome swing; Nevada winsHouston : 0.6% outcome swing; North Dakota State winsUSC : 0.5% outcome swing; Nevada winsNew Mexico : 0.4% outcome swing; North Dakota State winsOhio State : 0.4% outcome swing; North Dakota State winsImpacts if Nevada wins UCLA : 2.9% change; Nevada winsHouston : -0.6% change; North Dakota State winsUSC : 0.5% change; Nevada winsOhio State : -0.4% change; North Dakota State winsLSU : -0.3% change; North Dakota State winsImpacts if North Dakota State wins Nebraska : 0.2% change; North Dakota State winsIndiana : -0.1% change; North Dakota State winsIowa : -0.1% change; Nevada winsNew Mexico : 0.1% change; North Dakota State winsSouth Florida : -0.1% change; Nevada winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Nevada wins North Dakota State wins Swing Better outcome UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 28.7% 25.7% 3.0% Nevada wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 41.4% 42.0% 0.6% North Dakota State wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 19.2% 18.7% 0.5% Nevada wins New Mexico Mountain West 3.8% 3.5% 3.9% 0.4% North Dakota State wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 78.3% 78.7% 0.4% North Dakota State wins LSU SEC 18.1% 17.8% 18.1% 0.3% North Dakota State wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 75.9% 76.2% 0.3% North Dakota State wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 59.0% 59.3% 0.3% North Dakota State wins Auburn SEC 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% North Dakota State wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 18.5% 18.3% 0.2% Nevada wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 10.1% 9.9% 0.2% Nevada wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.2% 16.4% 0.2% North Dakota State wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 18.5% 18.7% 0.2% North Dakota State wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 14.6% 14.8% 0.2% North Dakota State wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 77.0% 77.1% 0.1% North Dakota State wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.6% 5.7% 0.1% North Dakota State wins Baylor Big 12 6.4% 6.3% 6.4% 0.1% North Dakota State wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 69.4% 69.5% 0.1% North Dakota State wins Cincinnati Big 12 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 0.1% North Dakota State wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.3% 87.4% 0.1% North Dakota State wins