New Mexico vs Hawai'i CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for New Mexico at Hawai'i . 2026-10-18 02:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #53. New Mexico -14.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
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Path Current With win With loss CFP 3.8% 4.1% 0.2% Automatic bid 3.7% 4.0% 0.2% Conference title game 89.8% 90.2% 74.4%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Boise State : 1.2% outcome swing; Hawai'i winsJames Madison : 0.7% outcome swing; Hawai'i winsOregon State : 0.6% outcome swing; Hawai'i winsMemphis : 0.5% outcome swing; Hawai'i winsIowa : 0.4% outcome swing; Hawai'i winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current New Mexico wins Hawai'i wins Swing Better outcome New Mexico Mountain West 3.8% 4.1% 0.2% 3.9% New Mexico wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 69.4% 70.6% 1.2% Hawai'i wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 9.9% 10.6% 0.7% Hawai'i wins Oregon State Pac-12 3.8% 3.7% 4.3% 0.6% Hawai'i wins Memphis American Athletic 3.9% 3.8% 4.3% 0.5% Hawai'i wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 18.4% 18.8% 0.4% Hawai'i wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.3% 4.7% 0.4% Hawai'i wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.7% 6.0% 0.3% Hawai'i wins LSU SEC 18.1% 18.2% 17.9% 0.3% New Mexico wins North Texas American Athletic 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 0.3% Hawai'i wins Ole Miss SEC 19.2% 19.2% 18.9% 0.3% New Mexico wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 76.1% 76.4% 0.3% Hawai'i wins Georgia SEC 96.4% 96.4% 96.2% 0.2% New Mexico wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.5% 87.3% 0.2% New Mexico wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 13.9% 13.7% 0.2% New Mexico wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.4% 16.2% 0.2% New Mexico wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 18.5% 18.3% 0.2% New Mexico wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 78.7% 78.9% 0.2% Hawai'i wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 25.8% 25.6% 0.2% New Mexico wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 18.7% 18.9% 0.2% Hawai'i wins