Northern Illinois vs Wyoming CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 7 pregame analysis for Northern Illinois at Wyoming. 2026-10-17 19:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #35. Wyoming -7.

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Northern Illinois playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.1%0.2%0.0%

Wyoming playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.5%0.7%0.1%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Iowa: 2.0% outcome swing; Northern Illinois wins
  2. Arizona: 1.0% outcome swing; Northern Illinois wins
  3. New Mexico: 0.5% outcome swing; Wyoming wins
  4. James Madison: 0.4% outcome swing; Northern Illinois wins
  5. UCLA: 0.4% outcome swing; Wyoming wins

Impacts if Northern Illinois wins

  1. Iowa: 1.1% change; Northern Illinois wins
  2. Arizona: 0.7% change; Northern Illinois wins
  3. Boise State: -0.3% change; Wyoming wins
  4. James Madison: 0.3% change; Northern Illinois wins
  5. Missouri: -0.3% change; Wyoming wins

Impacts if Wyoming wins

  1. Iowa: -0.9% change; Northern Illinois wins
  2. Arizona: -0.3% change; Northern Illinois wins
  3. New Mexico: 0.3% change; Wyoming wins
  4. Kentucky: 0.2% change; Wyoming wins
  5. LSU: 0.2% change; Wyoming wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentNorthern Illinois winsWyoming winsSwingBetter outcome
IowaBig Ten18.4%19.5%17.5%2.0%Northern Illinois wins
ArizonaBig 125.7%6.4%5.4%1.0%Northern Illinois wins
New MexicoMountain West3.8%3.6%4.1%0.5%Wyoming wins
James MadisonSun Belt9.9%10.2%9.8%0.4%Northern Illinois wins
UCLABig Ten25.8%25.6%26.0%0.4%Wyoming wins
USCBig Ten18.7%18.5%18.9%0.4%Wyoming wins
WisconsinBig Ten7.6%7.9%7.5%0.4%Northern Illinois wins
Boise StatePac-1269.5%69.2%69.5%0.3%Wyoming wins
IndianaBig Ten87.5%87.3%87.6%0.3%Wyoming wins
KentuckySEC13.9%13.8%14.1%0.3%Wyoming wins
LSUSEC18.1%18.0%18.3%0.3%Wyoming wins
MissouriSEC16.4%16.1%16.4%0.3%Wyoming wins
AlabamaSEC77.1%76.9%77.1%0.2%Wyoming wins
HoustonBig 1242.0%41.8%42.0%0.2%Wyoming wins
MiamiACC95.1%95.0%95.2%0.2%Wyoming wins
NorthwesternBig Ten9.2%9.1%9.3%0.2%Wyoming wins
Ohio StateBig Ten78.7%78.8%78.6%0.2%Northern Illinois wins
Ole MissSEC19.2%19.0%19.2%0.2%Wyoming wins
Texas TechBig 1276.2%76.2%76.0%0.2%Northern Illinois wins
Wake ForestACC14.7%14.5%14.7%0.2%Wyoming wins