Northern Illinois vs UNLV CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Northern Illinois at UNLV. 2026-11-01 02:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #49. Line unavailable.
Northern Illinois playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
UNLV playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 26.2% | 26.7% | 7.5% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Arizona: 2.4% outcome swing; Northern Illinois wins
- Utah: 0.8% outcome swing; Northern Illinois wins
- Alabama: 0.7% outcome swing; UNLV wins
- New Mexico: 0.7% outcome swing; UNLV wins
- North Texas: 0.7% outcome swing; UNLV wins
Impacts if Northern Illinois wins
- Arizona: 2.3% change; Northern Illinois wins
- Utah: 0.8% change; Northern Illinois wins
- Alabama: -0.7% change; UNLV wins
- New Mexico: -0.7% change; UNLV wins
- Boise State: 0.6% change; Northern Illinois wins
Impacts if UNLV wins
- Arizona: -0.1% change; Northern Illinois wins
- Missouri: 0.1% change; UNLV wins
- North Texas: 0.1% change; UNLV wins
- Northwestern: -0.1% change; UNLV wins
- Oregon State: -0.1% change; Northern Illinois wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Northern Illinois wins | UNLV wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 26.3% | 23.9% | 2.4% | Northern Illinois wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 72.5% | 71.7% | 0.8% | Northern Illinois wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 49.2% | 49.9% | 0.7% | UNLV wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | UNLV wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 0.7% | UNLV wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 64.4% | 63.8% | 0.6% | Northern Illinois wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 81.5% | 82.0% | 0.5% | UNLV wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | Northern Illinois wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 0.5% | UNLV wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 0.5% | UNLV wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.5% | 62.1% | 0.4% | Northern Illinois wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 37.4% | 37.8% | 0.4% | UNLV wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 51.3% | 50.9% | 0.4% | Northern Illinois wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | Northern Illinois wins |
| Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 0.3% | Northern Illinois wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 44.0% | 44.3% | 0.3% | UNLV wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | UNLV wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 37.5% | 37.7% | 0.2% | UNLV wins |
| Louisville | ACC | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% | UNLV wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 44.7% | 44.9% | 0.2% | UNLV wins |