UTEP vs North Dakota State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for UTEP at North Dakota State. 2026-10-31 19:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #56. Line unavailable.
UTEP playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
North Dakota State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 64.6% | 65.2% | 17.6% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Boise State: 0.8% outcome swing; UTEP wins
- Oregon State: 0.5% outcome swing; UTEP wins
- UTSA: 0.5% outcome swing; North Dakota State wins
- BYU: 0.4% outcome swing; North Dakota State wins
- James Madison: 0.4% outcome swing; North Dakota State wins
Impacts if UTEP wins
- Boise State: 0.8% change; UTEP wins
- Oregon State: 0.5% change; UTEP wins
- UTSA: -0.5% change; North Dakota State wins
- BYU: -0.4% change; North Dakota State wins
- James Madison: -0.4% change; North Dakota State wins
Impacts if North Dakota State wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | UTEP wins | North Dakota State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 64.6% | 63.8% | 0.8% | UTEP wins |
| Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 0.5% | UTEP wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 0.5% | North Dakota State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 61.7% | 62.1% | 0.4% | North Dakota State wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | North Dakota State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 38.0% | 37.7% | 0.3% | UTEP wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% | North Dakota State wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 0.3% | North Dakota State wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 50.1% | 49.9% | 0.2% | UTEP wins |
| Florida | SEC | 18.7% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 0.2% | UTEP wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 38.0% | 37.8% | 0.2% | UTEP wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 0.2% | North Dakota State wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 24.1% | 24.0% | 0.1% | UTEP wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% | UTEP wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 92.0% | 91.9% | 0.1% | UTEP wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.1% | North Dakota State wins |
| Miami | ACC | 97.8% | 97.7% | 97.8% | 0.1% | North Dakota State wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 0.1% | UTEP wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 95.3% | 95.4% | 95.3% | 0.1% | UTEP wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 92.3% | 92.2% | 92.3% | 0.1% | North Dakota State wins |