Hawai'i vs UTEP CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Hawai'i at UTEP. 2026-11-08 02:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #60. Line unavailable.
Hawai'i playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
UTEP playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Iowa: 0.4% outcome swing; UTEP wins
- New Mexico: 0.4% outcome swing; Hawai'i wins
- Wake Forest: 0.4% outcome swing; Hawai'i wins
- Boise State: 0.3% outcome swing; UTEP wins
- Arizona: 0.2% outcome swing; Hawai'i wins
Impacts if Hawai'i wins
Impacts if UTEP wins
- Iowa: 0.4% change; UTEP wins
- New Mexico: -0.4% change; Hawai'i wins
- Wake Forest: -0.4% change; Hawai'i wins
- Boise State: 0.3% change; UTEP wins
- Arizona: -0.2% change; Hawai'i wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Hawai'i wins | UTEP wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 0.4% | UTEP wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 18.1% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 0.4% | Hawai'i wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.3% | 44.9% | 0.4% | Hawai'i wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 56.8% | 57.1% | 0.3% | UTEP wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 0.2% | Hawai'i wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 87.7% | 87.5% | 0.2% | Hawai'i wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 69.8% | 70.0% | 0.2% | UTEP wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 62.2% | 62.4% | 0.2% | UTEP wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.5% | 76.4% | 0.1% | Hawai'i wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.4% | 51.3% | 0.1% | Hawai'i wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 26.3% | 26.3% | 26.4% | 0.1% | UTEP wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.1% | 49.2% | 0.1% | UTEP wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 50.4% | 50.5% | 0.1% | UTEP wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 26.2% | 26.2% | 26.3% | 0.1% | UTEP wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 0.1% | Hawai'i wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| App State | Sun Belt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Arizona State | Big 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Arkansas | SEC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |