Wyoming vs UNLV CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 10 pregame analysis for Wyoming at UNLV. 2026-11-08 03:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #61. Line unavailable.

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Wyoming playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game9.4%31.5%4.3%

UNLV playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game49.4%56.4%6.5%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. UTSA: 0.4% outcome swing; UNLV wins
  2. Boise State: 0.3% outcome swing; Wyoming wins
  3. Wake Forest: 0.3% outcome swing; UNLV wins
  4. Florida: 0.2% outcome swing; UNLV wins
  5. Iowa: 0.2% outcome swing; Wyoming wins

Impacts if Wyoming wins

  1. Boise State: 0.3% change; Wyoming wins
  2. UTSA: -0.3% change; UNLV wins
  3. Wake Forest: -0.3% change; UNLV wins
  4. Iowa: 0.2% change; Wyoming wins
  5. LSU: 0.2% change; Wyoming wins

Impacts if UNLV wins

  1. Florida: 0.1% change; UNLV wins
  2. New Mexico: -0.1% change; Either outcome
  3. Ohio State: -0.1% change; Wyoming wins
  4. Texas Tech: 0.1% change; Either outcome
  5. UCLA: -0.1% change; Either outcome

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentWyoming winsUNLV winsSwingBetter outcome
UTSAAmerican Athletic20.1%19.8%20.2%0.4%UNLV wins
Boise StatePac-1256.8%57.1%56.8%0.3%Wyoming wins
Wake ForestACC45.3%45.0%45.3%0.3%UNLV wins
FloridaSEC4.5%4.4%4.6%0.2%UNLV wins
IowaBig Ten12.7%12.9%12.7%0.2%Wyoming wins
LSUSEC49.1%49.3%49.1%0.2%Wyoming wins
BYUBig 1251.4%51.5%51.4%0.1%Wyoming wins
LibertyConference USA3.8%3.9%3.8%0.1%Wyoming wins
Ohio StateBig Ten69.8%69.8%69.7%0.1%Wyoming wins
Ole MissSEC50.4%50.3%50.4%0.1%UNLV wins
Air ForceMountain West0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AkronMid-American0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AlabamaSEC76.5%76.5%76.5%0.0%Either outcome
App StateSun Belt0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
ArizonaBig 1212.4%12.4%12.4%0.0%Either outcome
Arizona StateBig 120.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
ArkansasSEC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
Arkansas StateSun Belt0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
ArmyAmerican Athletic0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AuburnSEC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome