Ball State vs Bowling Green CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Ball State at Bowling Green . 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #37. Bowling Green -7.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 5.2% 6.2% 1.0%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Northwestern : 2.0% outcome swing; Ball State winsNebraska : 1.3% outcome swing; Bowling Green winsOhio State : 0.6% outcome swing; Ball State winsOregon : 0.5% outcome swing; Ball State winsIndiana : 0.4% outcome swing; Ball State winsImpacts if Ball State wins Northwestern : 1.7% change; Ball State winsNebraska : -1.0% change; Bowling Green winsOhio State : 0.6% change; Ball State winsOregon : 0.5% change; Ball State winsUSC : 0.4% change; Ball State winsImpacts if Bowling Green wins Indiana : -0.4% change; Ball State winsNebraska : 0.3% change; Bowling Green winsNorthwestern : -0.3% change; Ball State winsUSC : 0.2% change; Ball State winsAlabama : 0.1% change; Bowling Green winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Ball State wins Bowling Green wins Swing Better outcome Northwestern Big Ten 9.2% 10.9% 8.9% 2.0% Ball State wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 17.5% 18.8% 1.3% Bowling Green wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 79.3% 78.7% 0.6% Ball State wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 18.4% 17.9% 0.5% Ball State wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.5% 87.1% 0.4% Ball State wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 58.9% 59.3% 0.4% Bowling Green wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.5% 5.8% 0.3% Bowling Green wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 36.3% 36.6% 0.3% Bowling Green wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 41.7% 42.0% 0.3% Bowling Green wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 10.1% 9.8% 0.3% Ball State wins Ole Miss SEC 19.2% 19.4% 19.1% 0.3% Ball State wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 77.0% 77.2% 0.2% Bowling Green wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 69.3% 69.5% 0.2% Bowling Green wins Georgia SEC 96.4% 96.3% 96.5% 0.2% Bowling Green wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 18.2% 18.4% 0.2% Bowling Green wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 13.8% 14.0% 0.2% Bowling Green wins LSU SEC 18.1% 17.9% 18.1% 0.2% Bowling Green wins Mississippi State SEC 5.8% 5.9% 5.7% 0.2% Ball State wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.2% 4.4% 0.2% Bowling Green wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 75.9% 76.1% 0.2% Bowling Green wins