Western Michigan vs Central Michigan CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Western Michigan at Central Michigan . 2026-10-17 17:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #30. Western Michigan -7.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% Conference title game 71.0% 78.6% 47.4%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 4.7% 14.6% 0.8%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Boise State : 3.8% outcome swing; Western Michigan winsNew Mexico : 2.4% outcome swing; Central Michigan winsJames Madison : 0.7% outcome swing; Central Michigan winsMemphis : 0.7% outcome swing; Central Michigan winsOregon : 0.7% outcome swing; Western Michigan wins
Impacts if Western Michigan wins New Mexico : -0.5% change; Central Michigan winsBoise State : 0.4% change; Western Michigan winsOregon : 0.2% change; Western Michigan winsUCLA : 0.2% change; Western Michigan winsWake Forest : -0.2% change; Central Michigan wins
Impacts if Central Michigan wins Boise State : -3.4% change; Western Michigan winsNew Mexico : 1.9% change; Central Michigan winsMemphis : 0.7% change; Central Michigan winsJames Madison : 0.6% change; Central Michigan winsOregon : -0.5% change; Western Michigan wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Western Michigan wins Central Michigan wins Swing Better outcome Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 69.9% 66.1% 3.8% Western Michigan wins New Mexico Mountain West 3.8% 3.3% 5.7% 2.4% Central Michigan wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 9.8% 10.5% 0.7% Central Michigan wins Memphis American Athletic 3.9% 3.9% 4.6% 0.7% Central Michigan wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 18.1% 17.4% 0.7% Western Michigan wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.5% 87.1% 0.4% Western Michigan wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 26.0% 25.6% 0.4% Western Michigan wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 18.5% 18.2% 0.3% Western Michigan wins Miami ACC 95.1% 95.1% 95.4% 0.3% Central Michigan wins Wake Forest ACC 14.7% 14.5% 14.8% 0.3% Central Michigan wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 42.0% 41.8% 0.2% Western Michigan wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 13.9% 14.1% 0.2% Central Michigan wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 18.5% 18.7% 0.2% Central Michigan wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 78.6% 78.8% 0.2% Central Michigan wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.3% 4.5% 0.2% Central Michigan wins Oregon State Pac-12 3.8% 3.8% 4.0% 0.2% Central Michigan wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 76.2% 76.0% 0.2% Western Michigan wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 77.1% 77.2% 0.1% Central Michigan wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.7% 5.6% 0.1% Western Michigan wins Army American Athletic 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% Central Michigan wins