Ohio vs Sacramento State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Ohio at Sacramento State . 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #60. Ohio -14.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
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Ohio playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 49.0% 50.5% 28.3%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Nebraska : 2.4% outcome swing; Ohio winsBYU : 0.3% outcome swing; Sacramento State winsHouston : 0.3% outcome swing; Sacramento State winsKentucky : 0.3% outcome swing; Sacramento State winsNew Mexico : 0.3% outcome swing; Sacramento State winsImpacts if Ohio wins BYU : -0.1% change; Sacramento State winsGeorgia : 0.1% change; Either outcomeNebraska : 0.1% change; Ohio winsOhio State : 0.1% change; Either outcomeTexas : -0.1% change; Sacramento State winsImpacts if Sacramento State wins Nebraska : -2.3% change; Ohio winsHouston : 0.3% change; Sacramento State winsKentucky : 0.3% change; Sacramento State winsNew Mexico : 0.3% change; Sacramento State winsOregon : 0.3% change; Sacramento State winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Ohio wins Sacramento State wins Swing Better outcome Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 18.6% 16.2% 2.4% Ohio wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 36.4% 36.7% 0.3% Sacramento State wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 42.0% 42.3% 0.3% Sacramento State wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 13.9% 14.2% 0.3% Sacramento State wins New Mexico Mountain West 3.8% 3.8% 4.1% 0.3% Sacramento State wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 17.9% 18.2% 0.3% Sacramento State wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 77.1% 77.3% 0.2% Sacramento State wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 69.5% 69.3% 0.2% Ohio wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.5% 87.3% 0.2% Ohio wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 18.4% 18.2% 0.2% Ohio wins Memphis American Athletic 3.9% 3.9% 4.1% 0.2% Sacramento State wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 14.7% 14.9% 0.2% Sacramento State wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 18.7% 18.9% 0.2% Sacramento State wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 59.3% 59.5% 0.2% Sacramento State wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.7% 5.8% 0.1% Sacramento State wins Auburn SEC 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% Ohio wins Baylor Big 12 6.4% 6.4% 6.5% 0.1% Sacramento State wins Fresno State Pac-12 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% Ohio wins Georgia State Sun Belt 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% Sacramento State wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 9.9% 9.8% 0.1% Ohio wins