Kent State vs Sacramento State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Kent State at Sacramento State. 2026-10-31 02:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #47. Kent State -10.
Kent State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Sacramento State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Georgia: 0.5% outcome swing; Kent State wins
- Houston: 0.5% outcome swing; Sacramento State wins
- Kentucky: 0.5% outcome swing; Kent State wins
- New Mexico: 0.5% outcome swing; Sacramento State wins
- Alabama: 0.4% outcome swing; Kent State wins
Impacts if Kent State wins
- Georgia: 0.3% change; Kent State wins
- James Madison: -0.2% change; Sacramento State wins
- LSU: 0.2% change; Either outcome
- UTSA: 0.2% change; Kent State wins
- Alabama: 0.1% change; Kent State wins
Impacts if Sacramento State wins
- Kentucky: -0.5% change; Kent State wins
- Houston: 0.4% change; Sacramento State wins
- New Mexico: 0.4% change; Sacramento State wins
- Alabama: -0.3% change; Kent State wins
- Missouri: 0.3% change; Sacramento State wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Kent State wins | Sacramento State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 82.3% | 81.8% | 0.5% | Kent State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 37.6% | 38.1% | 0.5% | Sacramento State wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 37.8% | 37.3% | 0.5% | Kent State wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% | Sacramento State wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 50.0% | 49.6% | 0.4% | Kent State wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 50.8% | 51.2% | 0.4% | Sacramento State wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 23.9% | 24.2% | 0.3% | Sacramento State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.0% | 62.3% | 0.3% | Sacramento State wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 0.3% | Sacramento State wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.3% | 20.0% | 0.3% | Kent State wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | Kent State wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | Sacramento State wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 92.3% | 92.3% | 92.1% | 0.2% | Kent State wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 0.2% | Kent State wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% | Kent State wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 91.9% | 91.8% | 0.1% | Kent State wins |
| Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | Kent State wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | Kent State wins |
| Northwestern | Big Ten | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 0.1% | Kent State wins |
| Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 0.1% | Sacramento State wins |