Bowling Green vs Western Michigan CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Bowling Green at Western Michigan. 2026-10-31 16:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #42. Line unavailable.
Bowling Green playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
Western Michigan playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 57.6% | 61.5% | 18.2% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Boise State: 4.1% outcome swing; Western Michigan wins
- UTSA: 1.9% outcome swing; Bowling Green wins
- Nebraska: 1.2% outcome swing; Bowling Green wins
- New Mexico: 0.8% outcome swing; Bowling Green wins
- Alabama: 0.7% outcome swing; Western Michigan wins
Impacts if Bowling Green wins
- Boise State: -3.6% change; Western Michigan wins
- UTSA: 1.6% change; Bowling Green wins
- Nebraska: 1.2% change; Bowling Green wins
- Alabama: -0.7% change; Western Michigan wins
- New Mexico: 0.6% change; Bowling Green wins
Impacts if Western Michigan wins
- Boise State: 0.5% change; Western Michigan wins
- UTSA: -0.3% change; Bowling Green wins
- New Mexico: -0.2% change; Bowling Green wins
- Georgia: -0.1% change; Either outcome
- Missouri: 0.1% change; Western Michigan wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Bowling Green wins | Western Michigan wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 60.2% | 64.3% | 4.1% | Western Michigan wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 21.7% | 19.8% | 1.9% | Bowling Green wins |
| Nebraska | Big Ten | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 1.2% | Bowling Green wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | Bowling Green wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 49.2% | 49.9% | 0.7% | Western Michigan wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 43.8% | 44.4% | 0.6% | Western Michigan wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 51.4% | 50.9% | 0.5% | Bowling Green wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 72.2% | 71.7% | 0.5% | Bowling Green wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 0.4% | Bowling Green wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | Bowling Green wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | Bowling Green wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 37.9% | 37.7% | 0.2% | Bowling Green wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | Bowling Green wins |
| Louisville | ACC | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% | Western Michigan wins |
| Miami | ACC | 97.8% | 97.6% | 97.8% | 0.2% | Western Michigan wins |
| Northwestern | Big Ten | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 0.2% | Bowling Green wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 14.2% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 0.2% | Western Michigan wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.2% | 62.1% | 0.1% | Bowling Green wins |
| Florida | SEC | 18.7% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 0.1% | Western Michigan wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 92.0% | 91.9% | 0.1% | Bowling Green wins |