Ohio vs Akron CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Ohio at Akron. 2026-11-04 00:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #55. Ohio -12.5.
Ohio playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 54.3% | 58.2% | 27.1% |
Akron playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Wake Forest: 1.7% outcome swing; Akron wins
- UCLA: 0.4% outcome swing; Ohio wins
- BYU: 0.2% outcome swing; Ohio wins
- LSU: 0.2% outcome swing; Ohio wins
- Ohio State: 0.2% outcome swing; Ohio wins
Impacts if Ohio wins
- Wake Forest: -0.2% change; Akron wins
- BYU: 0.1% change; Ohio wins
- Texas Tech: 0.1% change; Either outcome
- Air Force: 0.0% change; Either outcome
- Alabama: 0.0% change; Ohio wins
Impacts if Akron wins
- Wake Forest: 1.5% change; Akron wins
- UCLA: -0.4% change; Ohio wins
- LSU: -0.2% change; Ohio wins
- Ohio State: -0.2% change; Ohio wins
- Texas: -0.2% change; Ohio wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Ohio wins | Akron wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.1% | 46.8% | 1.7% | Akron wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 45.5% | 45.1% | 0.4% | Ohio wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.5% | 51.3% | 0.2% | Ohio wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.1% | 48.9% | 0.2% | Ohio wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 69.8% | 69.6% | 0.2% | Ohio wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 62.2% | 62.0% | 0.2% | Ohio wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 83.4% | 83.4% | 83.2% | 0.2% | Ohio wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 0.2% | Ohio wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.5% | 76.4% | 0.1% | Ohio wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 56.8% | 56.7% | 0.1% | Ohio wins |
| Florida | SEC | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 0.1% | Akron wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 37.1% | 37.0% | 0.1% | Ohio wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 88.9% | 88.8% | 0.1% | Ohio wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 0.1% | Akron wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.7% | 98.7% | 98.8% | 0.1% | Akron wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 18.1% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 0.1% | Akron wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 50.4% | 50.3% | 0.1% | Ohio wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 26.2% | 26.2% | 26.1% | 0.1% | Ohio wins |
| Toledo | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Akron wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |