Buffalo vs Miami (OH) CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Buffalo at Miami (OH). 2026-11-04 01:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #54. Miami (OH) -6.5.
Buffalo playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 15.8% | 33.6% | 3.9% |
Miami (OH) playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 14.8% | 19.6% | 3.8% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Wake Forest: 0.4% outcome swing; Miami (OH) wins
- Arizona: 0.3% outcome swing; Miami (OH) wins
- Boise State: 0.3% outcome swing; Miami (OH) wins
- Texas Tech: 0.3% outcome swing; Miami (OH) wins
- USC: 0.3% outcome swing; Buffalo wins
Impacts if Buffalo wins
- Arizona: -0.3% change; Miami (OH) wins
- Boise State: -0.3% change; Miami (OH) wins
- Ohio State: 0.2% change; Buffalo wins
- USC: 0.2% change; Buffalo wins
- Georgia: 0.1% change; Buffalo wins
Impacts if Miami (OH) wins
- Wake Forest: 0.3% change; Miami (OH) wins
- Texas Tech: 0.2% change; Miami (OH) wins
- UCLA: -0.2% change; Buffalo wins
- Alabama: 0.1% change; Miami (OH) wins
- Florida: -0.1% change; Buffalo wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Buffalo wins | Miami (OH) wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.2% | 45.6% | 0.4% | Miami (OH) wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 0.3% | Miami (OH) wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 56.5% | 56.8% | 0.3% | Miami (OH) wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 44.8% | 44.7% | 45.0% | 0.3% | Miami (OH) wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 0.3% | Buffalo wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 70.0% | 69.8% | 0.2% | Buffalo wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 62.3% | 62.1% | 0.2% | Buffalo wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.5% | 76.6% | 0.1% | Miami (OH) wins |
| Florida | SEC | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 0.1% | Buffalo wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 84.9% | 85.0% | 84.9% | 0.1% | Buffalo wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 37.0% | 37.1% | 0.1% | Miami (OH) wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 88.9% | 88.8% | 0.1% | Buffalo wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 0.1% | Buffalo wins |
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 0.1% | Buffalo wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.7% | 98.7% | 98.8% | 0.1% | Miami (OH) wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 18.1% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 0.1% | Buffalo wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 87.8% | 87.7% | 0.1% | Buffalo wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 26.2% | 26.2% | 26.1% | 0.1% | Buffalo wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 45.4% | 45.3% | 0.1% | Buffalo wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 83.4% | 83.3% | 83.4% | 0.1% | Miami (OH) wins |