Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan. 2026-11-05 00:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #43. Eastern Michigan -1.5.
Central Michigan playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Eastern Michigan playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- New Mexico: 1.0% outcome swing; Central Michigan wins
- Boise State: 0.5% outcome swing; Eastern Michigan wins
- BYU: 0.3% outcome swing; Central Michigan wins
- Indiana: 0.3% outcome swing; Eastern Michigan wins
- Ohio State: 0.3% outcome swing; Eastern Michigan wins
Impacts if Central Michigan wins
- New Mexico: 0.6% change; Central Michigan wins
- Boise State: -0.3% change; Eastern Michigan wins
- Indiana: -0.3% change; Eastern Michigan wins
- Alabama: 0.2% change; Central Michigan wins
- USC: -0.2% change; Eastern Michigan wins
Impacts if Eastern Michigan wins
- New Mexico: -0.4% change; Central Michigan wins
- BYU: -0.3% change; Central Michigan wins
- Boise State: 0.2% change; Eastern Michigan wins
- Iowa: 0.2% change; Eastern Michigan wins
- Notre Dame: 0.2% change; Eastern Michigan wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Central Michigan wins | Eastern Michigan wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 18.1% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 1.0% | Central Michigan wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 56.5% | 57.0% | 0.5% | Eastern Michigan wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.4% | 51.1% | 0.3% | Central Michigan wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 88.6% | 88.9% | 0.3% | Eastern Michigan wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 69.7% | 70.0% | 0.3% | Eastern Michigan wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 0.2% | Eastern Michigan wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.2% | 49.0% | 0.2% | Central Michigan wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.7% | 98.8% | 98.6% | 0.2% | Central Michigan wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.2% | Eastern Michigan wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 87.7% | 87.9% | 0.2% | Eastern Michigan wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 0.2% | Central Michigan wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 0.2% | Eastern Michigan wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 19.9% | 20.1% | 0.2% | Eastern Michigan wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.5% | 45.3% | 0.2% | Central Michigan wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.7% | 76.6% | 0.1% | Central Michigan wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 45.4% | 45.5% | 0.1% | Eastern Michigan wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| App State | Sun Belt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 0.0% | Either outcome |