Western Michigan vs Akron CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 11 pregame analysis for Western Michigan at Akron. 2026-11-11 00:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #40. Western Michigan -13.5.
Western Michigan playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 60.7% | 64.7% | 16.6% |
Akron playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Boise State: 3.2% outcome swing; Western Michigan wins
- New Mexico: 2.4% outcome swing; Akron wins
- Wake Forest: 0.9% outcome swing; Akron wins
- Liberty: 0.6% outcome swing; Akron wins
- North Texas: 0.3% outcome swing; Akron wins
Impacts if Western Michigan wins
- Boise State: 0.3% change; Western Michigan wins
- New Mexico: -0.3% change; Akron wins
- Liberty: -0.2% change; Akron wins
- Wake Forest: -0.2% change; Akron wins
- BYU: 0.1% change; Western Michigan wins
Impacts if Akron wins
- Boise State: -2.9% change; Western Michigan wins
- New Mexico: 2.1% change; Akron wins
- Wake Forest: 0.7% change; Akron wins
- Liberty: 0.4% change; Akron wins
- North Texas: 0.3% change; Akron wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Western Michigan wins | Akron wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 66.4% | 66.7% | 63.5% | 3.2% | Western Michigan wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 27.9% | 27.6% | 30.0% | 2.4% | Akron wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.8% | 45.6% | 46.5% | 0.9% | Akron wins |
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% | Akron wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% | Akron wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 42.3% | 42.4% | 42.2% | 0.2% | Western Michigan wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.4% | 98.4% | 98.6% | 0.2% | Akron wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 21.3% | 21.3% | 21.1% | 0.2% | Western Michigan wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 28.3% | 28.3% | 28.1% | 0.2% | Western Michigan wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 96.6% | 96.6% | 96.7% | 0.1% | Akron wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 17.3% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 0.1% | Western Michigan wins |
| Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | Akron wins |
| LSU | SEC | 18.7% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 0.1% | Western Michigan wins |
| North Dakota State | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Akron wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 53.9% | 53.8% | 53.7% | 0.1% | Western Michigan wins |
| Texas | SEC | 73.4% | 73.4% | 73.3% | 0.1% | Western Michigan wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 34.9% | 34.9% | 34.8% | 0.1% | Western Michigan wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| App State | Sun Belt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |