Kent State vs Bowling Green CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 11 pregame analysis for Kent State at Bowling Green. 2026-11-11 00:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #44. Bowling Green -5.5.
Kent State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Bowling Green playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Arizona: 0.6% outcome swing; Bowling Green wins
- Ohio State: 0.6% outcome swing; Kent State wins
- Texas: 0.6% outcome swing; Kent State wins
- BYU: 0.5% outcome swing; Bowling Green wins
- Iowa: 0.4% outcome swing; Bowling Green wins
Impacts if Kent State wins
- Texas: 0.5% change; Kent State wins
- Arizona: -0.4% change; Bowling Green wins
- BYU: -0.4% change; Bowling Green wins
- Ohio State: 0.4% change; Kent State wins
- Iowa: -0.3% change; Bowling Green wins
Impacts if Bowling Green wins
- Arizona: 0.2% change; Bowling Green wins
- Ohio State: -0.2% change; Kent State wins
- Tennessee: -0.2% change; Kent State wins
- BYU: 0.1% change; Bowling Green wins
- Indiana: 0.1% change; Bowling Green wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Kent State wins | Bowling Green wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | Big 12 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 0.6% | Bowling Green wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 21.3% | 21.7% | 21.1% | 0.6% | Kent State wins |
| Texas | SEC | 73.4% | 73.9% | 73.3% | 0.6% | Kent State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 42.3% | 41.9% | 42.4% | 0.5% | Bowling Green wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 24.7% | 24.4% | 24.8% | 0.4% | Bowling Green wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 53.9% | 54.1% | 53.7% | 0.4% | Kent State wins |
| South Carolina | SEC | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 0.3% | Kent State wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 94.2% | 94.0% | 94.3% | 0.3% | Bowling Green wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 66.4% | 66.3% | 66.4% | 0.1% | Bowling Green wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 82.0% | 82.0% | 82.1% | 0.1% | Bowling Green wins |
| LSU | SEC | 18.7% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 0.1% | Kent State wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.4% | 98.4% | 98.5% | 0.1% | Bowling Green wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | Kent State wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 0.1% | Kent State wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 34.9% | 34.8% | 34.9% | 0.1% | Bowling Green wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 65.3% | 65.2% | 65.3% | 0.1% | Bowling Green wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Alabama | SEC | 96.6% | 96.6% | 96.6% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| App State | Sun Belt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |