Ohio vs Miami (OH) CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 11 pregame analysis for Ohio at Miami (OH). 2026-11-11 01:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #46. Miami (OH) -1.5.
Ohio playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 57.5% | 76.7% | 41.9% |
Miami (OH) playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 4.1% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Boise State: 0.4% outcome swing; Miami (OH) wins
- Arizona: 0.3% outcome swing; Miami (OH) wins
- Iowa: 0.3% outcome swing; Ohio wins
- Liberty: 0.3% outcome swing; Ohio wins
- Oregon: 0.3% outcome swing; Ohio wins
Impacts if Ohio wins
Impacts if Miami (OH) wins
- Boise State: 0.3% change; Miami (OH) wins
- Liberty: -0.3% change; Ohio wins
- Arizona: 0.2% change; Miami (OH) wins
- Houston: 0.2% change; Miami (OH) wins
- Alabama: 0.1% change; Miami (OH) wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Ohio wins | Miami (OH) wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 66.4% | 66.3% | 66.7% | 0.4% | Miami (OH) wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 17.3% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 0.3% | Miami (OH) wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 24.7% | 24.9% | 24.6% | 0.3% | Ohio wins |
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% | Ohio wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 28.3% | 28.5% | 28.2% | 0.3% | Ohio wins |
| Texas | SEC | 73.4% | 73.6% | 73.3% | 0.3% | Ohio wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 42.3% | 42.2% | 42.4% | 0.2% | Miami (OH) wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 45.3% | 45.3% | 45.5% | 0.2% | Miami (OH) wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 27.9% | 28.0% | 27.8% | 0.2% | Ohio wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 21.3% | 21.4% | 21.2% | 0.2% | Ohio wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 53.9% | 53.7% | 53.9% | 0.2% | Miami (OH) wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 65.3% | 65.4% | 65.2% | 0.2% | Ohio wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.8% | 45.7% | 45.9% | 0.2% | Miami (OH) wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 96.6% | 96.6% | 96.7% | 0.1% | Miami (OH) wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 82.0% | 82.1% | 82.0% | 0.1% | Ohio wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.4% | 98.3% | 98.4% | 0.1% | Miami (OH) wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | Miami (OH) wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 0.1% | Miami (OH) wins |
| South Carolina | SEC | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 0.1% | Ohio wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 94.2% | 94.1% | 94.2% | 0.1% | Miami (OH) wins |