Akron vs Miami (OH) CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 7 pregame analysis for Akron at Miami (OH). 2026-10-17 19:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #49. Miami (OH) -10.

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Akron playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.1%0.1%0.0%

Miami (OH) playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game10.9%11.9%2.9%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Wake Forest: 2.3% outcome swing; Akron wins
  2. BYU: 0.9% outcome swing; Miami (OH) wins
  3. Texas Tech: 0.8% outcome swing; Miami (OH) wins
  4. Houston: 0.5% outcome swing; Miami (OH) wins
  5. UCLA: 0.4% outcome swing; Akron wins

Impacts if Akron wins

  1. Wake Forest: 2.1% change; Akron wins
  2. Texas Tech: -0.8% change; Miami (OH) wins
  3. BYU: -0.5% change; Miami (OH) wins
  4. Houston: -0.5% change; Miami (OH) wins
  5. USC: 0.4% change; Akron wins

Impacts if Miami (OH) wins

  1. BYU: 0.4% change; Miami (OH) wins
  2. Northwestern: -0.2% change; Akron wins
  3. Utah: 0.2% change; Miami (OH) wins
  4. Wake Forest: -0.2% change; Akron wins
  5. Georgia: -0.1% change; Akron wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentAkron winsMiami (OH) winsSwingBetter outcome
Wake ForestACC14.7%16.8%14.5%2.3%Akron wins
BYUBig 1236.5%36.0%36.9%0.9%Miami (OH) wins
Texas TechBig 1276.2%75.4%76.2%0.8%Miami (OH) wins
HoustonBig 1242.0%41.5%42.0%0.5%Miami (OH) wins
UCLABig Ten25.8%26.1%25.7%0.4%Akron wins
IndianaBig Ten87.5%87.7%87.4%0.3%Akron wins
IowaBig Ten18.4%18.6%18.3%0.3%Akron wins
Mississippi StateSEC5.8%5.5%5.8%0.3%Miami (OH) wins
PittsburghACC2.0%1.7%2.0%0.3%Miami (OH) wins
TennesseeSEC14.7%15.0%14.7%0.3%Akron wins
USCBig Ten18.7%19.1%18.8%0.3%Akron wins
UtahBig 1259.3%59.2%59.5%0.3%Miami (OH) wins
AlabamaSEC77.1%76.9%77.1%0.2%Miami (OH) wins
BaylorBig 126.4%6.2%6.4%0.2%Miami (OH) wins
CincinnatiBig 121.0%0.8%1.0%0.2%Miami (OH) wins
Fresno StatePac-120.4%0.2%0.4%0.2%Miami (OH) wins
MemphisAmerican Athletic3.9%4.1%3.9%0.2%Akron wins
NebraskaBig Ten18.5%18.4%18.6%0.2%Miami (OH) wins
New MexicoMountain West3.8%4.0%3.8%0.2%Akron wins
NorthwesternBig Ten9.2%9.2%9.0%0.2%Akron wins