App State vs Georgia Southern CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for App State at Georgia Southern. 2026-10-31 22:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #32. Line unavailable.
App State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 12.6% | 27.3% | 1.5% |
Georgia Southern playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 3.7% | 5.3% | 0.1% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Houston: 2.0% outcome swing; Georgia Southern wins
- Texas Tech: 0.8% outcome swing; Georgia Southern wins
- Utah: 0.7% outcome swing; Georgia Southern wins
- Alabama: 0.6% outcome swing; App State wins
- UCLA: 0.6% outcome swing; App State wins
Impacts if App State wins
- Houston: -1.2% change; Georgia Southern wins
- Texas Tech: -0.6% change; Georgia Southern wins
- Utah: -0.4% change; Georgia Southern wins
- Alabama: 0.3% change; App State wins
- UCLA: 0.3% change; App State wins
Impacts if Georgia Southern wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | App State wins | Georgia Southern wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 36.5% | 38.5% | 2.0% | Georgia Southern wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 50.3% | 51.1% | 0.8% | Georgia Southern wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 71.3% | 72.0% | 0.7% | Georgia Southern wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 50.2% | 49.6% | 0.6% | App State wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 44.6% | 44.0% | 0.6% | App State wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 37.9% | 37.4% | 0.5% | App State wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 0.4% | App State wins |
| Florida | SEC | 18.7% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 0.3% | App State wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% | App State wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 63.8% | 64.0% | 0.2% | Georgia Southern wins |
| Louisville | ACC | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% | App State wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 37.5% | 37.7% | 37.5% | 0.2% | App State wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 0.2% | App State wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 23.9% | 24.0% | 0.1% | Georgia Southern wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.2% | 62.1% | 0.1% | App State wins |
| Cincinnati | Big 12 | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 0.1% | Georgia Southern wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 92.0% | 91.9% | 0.1% | App State wins |
| Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | App State wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 45.0% | 44.9% | 0.1% | App State wins |
| Miami | ACC | 97.8% | 97.8% | 97.7% | 0.1% | App State wins |