Georgia State vs App State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Georgia State at App State. 2026-11-07 19:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #48. Line unavailable.
Georgia State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
App State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 9.3% | 13.7% | 0.5% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Wake Forest: 0.5% outcome swing; App State wins
- BYU: 0.4% outcome swing; Georgia State wins
- Ole Miss: 0.4% outcome swing; App State wins
- Arizona: 0.3% outcome swing; Georgia State wins
- LSU: 0.3% outcome swing; App State wins
Impacts if Georgia State wins
- Ole Miss: -0.4% change; App State wins
- BYU: 0.3% change; Georgia State wins
- Wake Forest: -0.3% change; App State wins
- Arizona: 0.2% change; Georgia State wins
- Liberty: 0.2% change; Georgia State wins
Impacts if App State wins
- Wake Forest: 0.2% change; App State wins
- Alabama: 0.1% change; App State wins
- Arizona: -0.1% change; Georgia State wins
- Boise State: 0.1% change; App State wins
- BYU: -0.1% change; Georgia State wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Georgia State wins | App State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.0% | 45.5% | 0.5% | App State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.7% | 51.3% | 0.4% | Georgia State wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 50.0% | 50.4% | 0.4% | App State wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 0.3% | Georgia State wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 48.9% | 49.2% | 0.3% | App State wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.4% | 76.6% | 0.2% | App State wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 56.7% | 56.9% | 0.2% | App State wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 89.0% | 88.8% | 0.2% | Georgia State wins |
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 0.2% | Georgia State wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 18.1% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 0.2% | Georgia State wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 69.9% | 69.7% | 0.2% | Georgia State wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 0.2% | Georgia State wins |
| Florida | SEC | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 0.1% | App State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 37.1% | 37.0% | 0.1% | Georgia State wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 0.1% | Georgia State wins |
| Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | App State wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 62.2% | 62.3% | 0.1% | App State wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 45.5% | 45.4% | 0.1% | Georgia State wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 0.1% | App State wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |