App State vs Marshall CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 11 pregame analysis for App State at Marshall. 2026-11-14 23:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #57. Line unavailable.
App State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Marshall playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Liberty: 0.4% outcome swing; Marshall wins
- Iowa: 0.2% outcome swing; Marshall wins
- North Texas: 0.2% outcome swing; App State wins
- Tennessee: 0.2% outcome swing; App State wins
- Wake Forest: 0.2% outcome swing; App State wins
Impacts if App State wins
- Liberty: -0.3% change; Marshall wins
- Boise State: 0.1% change; App State wins
- Iowa: -0.1% change; Marshall wins
- North Texas: 0.1% change; App State wins
- Air Force: 0.0% change; Either outcome
Impacts if Marshall wins
- Tennessee: -0.2% change; App State wins
- Wake Forest: -0.2% change; App State wins
- BYU: 0.1% change; Marshall wins
- Houston: 0.1% change; Marshall wins
- Indiana: 0.1% change; Marshall wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | App State wins | Marshall wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% | Marshall wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 24.7% | 24.6% | 24.8% | 0.2% | Marshall wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% | App State wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 53.9% | 53.9% | 53.7% | 0.2% | App State wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.8% | 45.8% | 45.6% | 0.2% | App State wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 66.4% | 66.5% | 66.4% | 0.1% | App State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 42.3% | 42.3% | 42.4% | 0.1% | Marshall wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 45.3% | 45.3% | 45.4% | 0.1% | Marshall wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 82.0% | 82.0% | 82.1% | 0.1% | Marshall wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.4% | 98.4% | 98.3% | 0.1% | App State wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 21.3% | 21.3% | 21.4% | 0.1% | Marshall wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 0.1% | App State wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 28.3% | 28.3% | 28.4% | 0.1% | Marshall wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Alabama | SEC | 96.6% | 96.6% | 96.6% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| App State | Sun Belt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 17.3% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Arizona State | Big 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Arkansas | SEC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |