Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 11 pregame analysis for Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina. 2026-11-14 18:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #52. Line unavailable.
Arkansas State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Coastal Carolina playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Liberty: 0.5% outcome swing; Coastal Carolina wins
- Boise State: 0.4% outcome swing; Arkansas State wins
- LSU: 0.2% outcome swing; Arkansas State wins
- New Mexico: 0.2% outcome swing; Coastal Carolina wins
- Tennessee: 0.2% outcome swing; Arkansas State wins
Impacts if Arkansas State wins
- Liberty: -0.3% change; Coastal Carolina wins
- Boise State: 0.2% change; Arkansas State wins
- Alabama: 0.1% change; Arkansas State wins
- Louisiana Tech: 0.1% change; Arkansas State wins
- LSU: 0.1% change; Arkansas State wins
Impacts if Coastal Carolina wins
- Boise State: -0.2% change; Arkansas State wins
- Liberty: 0.2% change; Coastal Carolina wins
- Tennessee: -0.2% change; Arkansas State wins
- Houston: 0.1% change; Coastal Carolina wins
- Indiana: 0.1% change; Coastal Carolina wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Arkansas State wins | Coastal Carolina wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 66.4% | 66.6% | 66.2% | 0.4% | Arkansas State wins |
| LSU | SEC | 18.7% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 0.2% | Arkansas State wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 27.9% | 27.8% | 28.0% | 0.2% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 53.9% | 53.9% | 53.7% | 0.2% | Arkansas State wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 96.6% | 96.7% | 96.6% | 0.1% | Arkansas State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 45.3% | 45.3% | 45.4% | 0.1% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 82.0% | 82.0% | 82.1% | 0.1% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | Arkansas State wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Arkansas State wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% | Arkansas State wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 0.1% | Arkansas State wins |
| South Carolina | SEC | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 0.1% | Arkansas State wins |
| Texas | SEC | 73.4% | 73.4% | 73.5% | 0.1% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 65.3% | 65.3% | 65.2% | 0.1% | Arkansas State wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 94.2% | 94.1% | 94.2% | 0.1% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.8% | 45.7% | 45.8% | 0.1% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| App State | Sun Belt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |