Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Coastal Carolina at Georgia State. 2026-10-31 18:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #53. Line unavailable.
Coastal Carolina playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Georgia State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- James Madison: 0.3% outcome swing; Coastal Carolina wins
- LSU: 0.3% outcome swing; Coastal Carolina wins
- New Mexico: 0.3% outcome swing; Georgia State wins
- Alabama: 0.2% outcome swing; Georgia State wins
- Iowa: 0.2% outcome swing; Georgia State wins
Impacts if Coastal Carolina wins
- LSU: 0.3% change; Coastal Carolina wins
- New Mexico: -0.3% change; Georgia State wins
- Alabama: -0.2% change; Georgia State wins
- Iowa: -0.2% change; Georgia State wins
- James Madison: 0.2% change; Coastal Carolina wins
Impacts if Georgia State wins
- Boise State: 0.1% change; Either outcome
- James Madison: -0.1% change; Coastal Carolina wins
- South Carolina: 0.1% change; Georgia State wins
- Texas Tech: -0.1% change; Coastal Carolina wins
- UCLA: 0.1% change; Either outcome
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Coastal Carolina wins | Georgia State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 45.2% | 44.9% | 0.3% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% | Georgia State wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 49.7% | 49.9% | 0.2% | Georgia State wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | Georgia State wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 38.0% | 37.8% | 0.2% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 37.5% | 37.7% | 37.5% | 0.2% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 0.2% | Georgia State wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 71.8% | 71.6% | 0.2% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 23.9% | 24.0% | 0.1% | Georgia State wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | Georgia State wins |
| Florida | SEC | 18.7% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 0.1% | Georgia State wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 0.1% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 95.3% | 95.2% | 95.3% | 0.1% | Georgia State wins |
| South Carolina | SEC | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | Georgia State wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 50.9% | 50.8% | 0.1% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| UCF | Big 12 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | Georgia State wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.2% | 20.1% | 0.1% | Coastal Carolina wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |