Marshall vs Georgia Southern CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 10 pregame analysis for Marshall at Georgia Southern. 2026-11-07 20:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #58. Line unavailable.

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Marshall playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.9%4.3%0.0%

Georgia Southern playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game29.2%34.0%4.4%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Houston: 0.8% outcome swing; Georgia Southern wins
  2. LSU: 0.3% outcome swing; Georgia Southern wins
  3. Tennessee: 0.3% outcome swing; Marshall wins
  4. Arizona: 0.2% outcome swing; Georgia Southern wins
  5. Iowa: 0.2% outcome swing; Marshall wins

Impacts if Marshall wins

  1. Houston: -0.7% change; Georgia Southern wins
  2. LSU: -0.3% change; Georgia Southern wins
  3. Ohio State: 0.2% change; Marshall wins
  4. Tennessee: 0.2% change; Marshall wins
  5. USC: 0.2% change; Marshall wins

Impacts if Georgia Southern wins

  1. UCLA: -0.2% change; Marshall wins
  2. Arizona: 0.1% change; Georgia Southern wins
  3. Houston: 0.1% change; Georgia Southern wins
  4. Iowa: -0.1% change; Marshall wins
  5. New Mexico: 0.1% change; Georgia Southern wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentMarshall winsGeorgia Southern winsSwingBetter outcome
HoustonBig 1237.1%36.4%37.2%0.8%Georgia Southern wins
LSUSEC49.1%48.8%49.1%0.3%Georgia Southern wins
TennesseeSEC26.2%26.4%26.1%0.3%Marshall wins
ArizonaBig 1212.4%12.3%12.5%0.2%Georgia Southern wins
IowaBig Ten12.7%12.8%12.6%0.2%Marshall wins
Ohio StateBig Ten69.8%70.0%69.8%0.2%Marshall wins
Texas TechBig 1244.8%44.7%44.9%0.2%Georgia Southern wins
UCLABig Ten45.5%45.5%45.3%0.2%Marshall wins
USCBig Ten9.1%9.3%9.1%0.2%Marshall wins
UtahBig 1283.4%83.2%83.4%0.2%Georgia Southern wins
AlabamaSEC76.5%76.6%76.5%0.1%Marshall wins
Boise StatePac-1256.8%56.7%56.8%0.1%Georgia Southern wins
BYUBig 1251.4%51.5%51.4%0.1%Marshall wins
GeorgiaSEC84.9%85.0%84.9%0.1%Marshall wins
KentuckySEC26.3%26.4%26.3%0.1%Marshall wins
LibertyConference USA3.8%3.9%3.8%0.1%Marshall wins
New MexicoMountain West18.1%18.1%18.2%0.1%Georgia Southern wins
TexasSEC62.2%62.3%62.2%0.1%Marshall wins
UTSAAmerican Athletic20.1%20.1%20.0%0.1%Marshall wins
Wake ForestACC45.3%45.5%45.4%0.1%Marshall wins