Georgia Southern vs Georgia State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 11 pregame analysis for Georgia Southern at Georgia State. 2026-11-14 20:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #51. Line unavailable.

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Georgia Southern playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game27.6%41.7%2.9%

Georgia State playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.1%0.2%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Houston: 0.6% outcome swing; Georgia Southern wins
  2. BYU: 0.4% outcome swing; Georgia State wins
  3. Arizona: 0.2% outcome swing; Georgia State wins
  4. Iowa: 0.2% outcome swing; Georgia State wins
  5. LSU: 0.2% outcome swing; Georgia Southern wins

Impacts if Georgia Southern wins

  1. Houston: 0.3% change; Georgia Southern wins
  2. BYU: -0.2% change; Georgia State wins
  3. Arizona: -0.1% change; Georgia State wins
  4. Iowa: -0.1% change; Georgia State wins
  5. LSU: 0.1% change; Georgia Southern wins

Impacts if Georgia State wins

  1. Houston: -0.3% change; Georgia Southern wins
  2. BYU: 0.2% change; Georgia State wins
  3. Wake Forest: -0.2% change; Georgia Southern wins
  4. Arizona: 0.1% change; Georgia State wins
  5. Iowa: 0.1% change; Georgia State wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentGeorgia Southern winsGeorgia State winsSwingBetter outcome
HoustonBig 1245.3%45.6%45.0%0.6%Georgia Southern wins
BYUBig 1242.3%42.1%42.5%0.4%Georgia State wins
ArizonaBig 1217.3%17.2%17.4%0.2%Georgia State wins
IowaBig Ten24.7%24.6%24.8%0.2%Georgia State wins
LSUSEC18.7%18.8%18.6%0.2%Georgia Southern wins
New MexicoMountain West27.9%27.8%28.0%0.2%Georgia State wins
Wake ForestACC45.8%45.8%45.6%0.2%Georgia Southern wins
LibertyConference USA3.2%3.2%3.1%0.1%Georgia Southern wins
Ohio StateBig Ten21.3%21.3%21.4%0.1%Georgia State wins
OregonBig Ten28.3%28.3%28.4%0.1%Georgia State wins
TexasSEC73.4%73.4%73.5%0.1%Georgia State wins
Texas TechBig 1234.9%35.0%34.9%0.1%Georgia Southern wins
UCLABig Ten65.3%65.2%65.3%0.1%Georgia State wins
UtahBig 1294.2%94.2%94.1%0.1%Georgia Southern wins
Air ForceMountain West0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AkronMid-American0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AlabamaSEC96.6%96.6%96.6%0.0%Either outcome
App StateSun Belt0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
Arizona StateBig 120.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
ArkansasSEC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome