Georgia State vs James Madison CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Georgia State at James Madison . 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #17. James Madison -11.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
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Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% Conference title game 14.3% 53.0% 1.4%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 9.9% 11.2% 1.9% Automatic bid 9.9% 11.2% 1.9% Conference title game 83.0% 97.1% 40.0%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Boise State : 4.3% outcome swing; Georgia State winsNew Mexico : 1.3% outcome swing; Georgia State winsMemphis : 0.9% outcome swing; Georgia State winsNorth Texas : 0.7% outcome swing; Georgia State winsBYU : 0.5% outcome swing; Georgia State winsImpacts if Georgia State wins Boise State : 3.8% change; Georgia State winsNew Mexico : 1.0% change; Georgia State winsMemphis : 0.8% change; Georgia State winsNorth Texas : 0.6% change; Georgia State winsBYU : 0.5% change; Georgia State winsImpacts if James Madison wins Boise State : -0.5% change; Georgia State winsNew Mexico : -0.3% change; Georgia State winsOhio State : 0.2% change; James Madison winsBaylor : -0.1% change; Georgia State winsFresno State : -0.1% change; Georgia State winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Georgia State wins James Madison wins Swing Better outcome James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 1.9% 11.2% 9.3% James Madison wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 73.3% 69.0% 4.3% Georgia State wins New Mexico Mountain West 3.8% 4.8% 3.5% 1.3% Georgia State wins Memphis American Athletic 3.9% 4.7% 3.8% 0.9% Georgia State wins North Texas American Athletic 1.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.7% Georgia State wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 37.0% 36.5% 0.5% Georgia State wins Fresno State Pac-12 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% Georgia State wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 41.5% 41.9% 0.4% James Madison wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 18.7% 18.3% 0.4% Georgia State wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.1% 16.5% 0.4% James Madison wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.7% 4.3% 0.4% Georgia State wins Oregon State Pac-12 3.8% 4.2% 3.8% 0.4% Georgia State wins UTSA American Athletic 6.8% 7.1% 6.7% 0.4% Georgia State wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.3% 87.6% 0.3% James Madison wins Wake Forest ACC 14.7% 14.4% 14.7% 0.3% James Madison wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 77.3% 77.1% 0.2% Georgia State wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.9% 5.7% 0.2% Georgia State wins Baylor Big 12 6.4% 6.5% 6.3% 0.2% Georgia State wins Georgia State Sun Belt 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% Georgia State wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 18.7% 18.5% 0.2% Georgia State wins