James Madison vs Southern Miss CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for James Madison at Southern Miss. 2026-11-06 01:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #59. James Madison -14.
James Madison playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 59.6% | 64.0% | 25.1% |
Southern Miss playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 1.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- LSU: 0.6% outcome swing; Southern Miss wins
- Liberty: 0.4% outcome swing; James Madison wins
- Arizona: 0.3% outcome swing; James Madison wins
- Ohio State: 0.3% outcome swing; James Madison wins
- Tennessee: 0.3% outcome swing; Southern Miss wins
Impacts if James Madison wins
- Liberty: 0.2% change; James Madison wins
- Ole Miss: -0.2% change; Southern Miss wins
- Alabama: 0.1% change; Either outcome
- Boise State: -0.1% change; James Madison wins
- BYU: 0.1% change; James Madison wins
Impacts if Southern Miss wins
- LSU: 0.5% change; Southern Miss wins
- Arizona: -0.3% change; James Madison wins
- Boise State: -0.3% change; James Madison wins
- Tennessee: 0.3% change; Southern Miss wins
- Georgia: 0.2% change; Southern Miss wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | James Madison wins | Southern Miss wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.0% | 49.6% | 0.6% | Southern Miss wins |
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% | James Madison wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 0.3% | James Madison wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 69.9% | 69.6% | 0.3% | James Madison wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 26.2% | 26.2% | 26.5% | 0.3% | Southern Miss wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 56.7% | 56.5% | 0.2% | James Madison wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.5% | 51.3% | 0.2% | James Madison wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 84.9% | 84.9% | 85.1% | 0.2% | Southern Miss wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 88.9% | 88.7% | 0.2% | James Madison wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | Southern Miss wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.2% | Southern Miss wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 87.7% | 87.5% | 0.2% | James Madison wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 50.2% | 50.4% | 0.2% | Southern Miss wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 45.5% | 45.3% | 0.2% | James Madison wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 0.2% | Southern Miss wins |
| Florida | SEC | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 0.1% | Southern Miss wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 37.1% | 37.0% | 0.1% | James Madison wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 62.2% | 62.3% | 0.1% | Southern Miss wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 44.8% | 44.8% | 44.7% | 0.1% | James Madison wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 0.1% | Southern Miss wins |