Troy vs Louisiana CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Troy at Louisiana . 2026-10-17 21:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #28. Louisiana -4.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
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Troy playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% Conference title game 15.7% 28.4% 7.1%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 18.1% 25.9% 3.3%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings James Madison : 1.6% outcome swing; Troy winsUSC : 1.2% outcome swing; Louisiana winsMissouri : 0.9% outcome swing; Troy winsOregon : 0.7% outcome swing; Louisiana winsIndiana : 0.6% outcome swing; Louisiana winsImpacts if Troy wins James Madison : 1.1% change; Troy winsUSC : -0.7% change; Louisiana winsKentucky : 0.5% change; Troy winsOregon : -0.5% change; Louisiana winsIndiana : -0.4% change; Louisiana winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Troy wins Louisiana wins Swing Better outcome James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 11.0% 9.4% 1.6% Troy wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 18.0% 19.2% 1.2% Louisiana wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.8% 15.9% 0.9% Troy wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 17.4% 18.1% 0.7% Louisiana wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.1% 87.7% 0.6% Louisiana wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 25.4% 26.0% 0.6% Louisiana wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 14.4% 13.9% 0.5% Troy wins LSU SEC 18.1% 18.4% 17.9% 0.5% Troy wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 76.4% 75.9% 0.5% Troy wins UTSA American Athletic 6.8% 6.4% 6.9% 0.5% Louisiana wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 78.4% 78.7% 0.3% Louisiana wins Texas SEC 83.7% 84.0% 83.7% 0.3% Troy wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.9% 5.7% 0.2% Troy wins Georgia SEC 96.4% 96.5% 96.3% 0.2% Troy wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 41.8% 42.0% 0.2% Louisiana wins Memphis American Athletic 3.9% 3.9% 4.1% 0.2% Louisiana wins New Mexico Mountain West 3.8% 3.7% 3.9% 0.2% Louisiana wins North Texas American Athletic 1.3% 1.1% 1.3% 0.2% Louisiana wins Ole Miss SEC 19.2% 19.3% 19.1% 0.2% Troy wins Oregon State Pac-12 3.8% 3.7% 3.9% 0.2% Louisiana wins