South Alabama vs Louisiana CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 10 pregame analysis for South Alabama at Louisiana. 2026-11-07 22:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #50. Line unavailable.

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South Alabama playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game1.0%2.8%0.1%

Louisiana playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game4.5%6.0%0.1%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Alabama: 0.7% outcome swing; South Alabama wins
  2. Arizona: 0.5% outcome swing; Louisiana wins
  3. Indiana: 0.5% outcome swing; Louisiana wins
  4. USC: 0.5% outcome swing; Louisiana wins
  5. Tennessee: 0.4% outcome swing; South Alabama wins

Impacts if South Alabama wins

  1. Indiana: -0.5% change; Louisiana wins
  2. Alabama: 0.4% change; South Alabama wins
  3. Arizona: -0.4% change; Louisiana wins
  4. USC: -0.4% change; Louisiana wins
  5. LSU: 0.3% change; South Alabama wins

Impacts if Louisiana wins

  1. Alabama: -0.3% change; South Alabama wins
  2. Arizona: 0.1% change; Louisiana wins
  3. Boise State: 0.1% change; Louisiana wins
  4. Florida: -0.1% change; South Alabama wins
  5. Kentucky: -0.1% change; South Alabama wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentSouth Alabama winsLouisiana winsSwingBetter outcome
AlabamaSEC76.5%76.9%76.2%0.7%South Alabama wins
ArizonaBig 1212.4%12.0%12.5%0.5%Louisiana wins
IndianaBig Ten88.9%88.4%88.9%0.5%Louisiana wins
USCBig Ten9.1%8.7%9.2%0.5%Louisiana wins
TennesseeSEC26.2%26.5%26.1%0.4%South Alabama wins
LSUSEC49.1%49.4%49.1%0.3%South Alabama wins
FloridaSEC4.5%4.6%4.4%0.2%South Alabama wins
GeorgiaSEC84.9%85.1%84.9%0.2%South Alabama wins
HoustonBig 1237.1%36.9%37.1%0.2%Louisiana wins
KentuckySEC26.3%26.4%26.2%0.2%South Alabama wins
Ohio StateBig Ten69.8%69.7%69.9%0.2%Louisiana wins
Boise StatePac-1256.8%56.8%56.9%0.1%Louisiana wins
BYUBig 1251.4%51.3%51.4%0.1%Louisiana wins
IowaBig Ten12.7%12.8%12.7%0.1%South Alabama wins
Notre DameFBS Independents87.7%87.6%87.7%0.1%Louisiana wins
Ole MissSEC50.4%50.3%50.4%0.1%Louisiana wins
South CarolinaSEC7.5%7.6%7.5%0.1%South Alabama wins
TexasSEC62.2%62.4%62.3%0.1%South Alabama wins
UCLABig Ten45.5%45.4%45.5%0.1%Louisiana wins
Wake ForestACC45.3%45.5%45.4%0.1%South Alabama wins