Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 11 pregame analysis for Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky. 2026-11-14 20:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #39. Line unavailable.
Jacksonville State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 98.8% | 100.0% | 96.6% |
Western Kentucky playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Indiana: 1.1% outcome swing; Western Kentucky wins
- Liberty: 1.1% outcome swing; Jacksonville State wins
- Boise State: 0.6% outcome swing; Western Kentucky wins
- Iowa: 0.3% outcome swing; Jacksonville State wins
- Ohio State: 0.3% outcome swing; Western Kentucky wins
Impacts if Jacksonville State wins
- Indiana: -0.3% change; Western Kentucky wins
- Liberty: 0.3% change; Jacksonville State wins
- Ohio State: -0.2% change; Western Kentucky wins
- Arizona: 0.1% change; Jacksonville State wins
- Boise State: -0.1% change; Western Kentucky wins
Impacts if Western Kentucky wins
- Indiana: 0.8% change; Western Kentucky wins
- Liberty: -0.8% change; Jacksonville State wins
- Boise State: 0.5% change; Western Kentucky wins
- Iowa: -0.2% change; Jacksonville State wins
- North Texas: 0.2% change; Western Kentucky wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Jacksonville State wins | Western Kentucky wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | Big Ten | 82.0% | 81.7% | 82.8% | 1.1% | Western Kentucky wins |
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 66.4% | 66.3% | 66.9% | 0.6% | Western Kentucky wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 24.7% | 24.8% | 24.5% | 0.3% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 21.3% | 21.1% | 21.4% | 0.3% | Western Kentucky wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 42.3% | 42.4% | 42.2% | 0.2% | Jacksonville State wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% | Western Kentucky wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 53.9% | 53.9% | 53.7% | 0.2% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.8% | 45.9% | 45.7% | 0.2% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 17.3% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 45.3% | 45.4% | 45.3% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | Western Kentucky wins |
| LSU | SEC | 18.7% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.4% | 98.4% | 98.3% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Texas | SEC | 73.4% | 73.5% | 73.4% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 34.9% | 34.9% | 34.8% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Alabama | SEC | 96.6% | 96.6% | 96.6% | 0.0% | Either outcome |