Florida International vs Jacksonville State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Florida International at Jacksonville State. 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #58. Jacksonville State -3.
Florida International playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 24.1% | 42.6% | 10.3% |
Jacksonville State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 51.0% | 66.9% | 27.9% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- James Madison: 0.4% outcome swing; Jacksonville State wins
- Indiana: 0.3% outcome swing; Jacksonville State wins
- Iowa: 0.3% outcome swing; Florida International wins
- LSU: 0.3% outcome swing; Jacksonville State wins
- Boise State: 0.2% outcome swing; Florida International wins
Impacts if Florida International wins
- Indiana: -0.2% change; Jacksonville State wins
- Iowa: 0.2% change; Florida International wins
- James Madison: -0.2% change; Jacksonville State wins
- LSU: -0.2% change; Jacksonville State wins
- Memphis: 0.2% change; Florida International wins
Impacts if Jacksonville State wins
- James Madison: 0.2% change; Jacksonville State wins
- Baylor: -0.1% change; Florida International wins
- Boise State: -0.1% change; Florida International wins
- BYU: 0.1% change; Jacksonville State wins
- Indiana: 0.1% change; Jacksonville State wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Florida International wins | Jacksonville State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 0.4% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 87.5% | 87.3% | 87.6% | 0.3% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 18.4% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 0.3% | Florida International wins |
| LSU | SEC | 18.1% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 0.3% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 69.5% | 69.6% | 69.4% | 0.2% | Florida International wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 0.2% | Florida International wins |
| Nebraska | Big Ten | 18.5% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 0.2% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 14.7% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 0.2% | Florida International wins |
| Baylor | Big 12 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 0.1% | Florida International wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 36.5% | 36.5% | 36.6% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 42.0% | 41.9% | 42.0% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Mississippi State | SEC | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 0.1% | Florida International wins |
| South Florida | American Athletic | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | Florida International wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 18.7% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 0.1% | Florida International wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 0.1% | Florida International wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 14.7% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 0.1% | Florida International wins |
| Western Michigan | Mid-American | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Alabama | SEC | 77.1% | 77.1% | 77.1% | 0.0% | Either outcome |