Delaware vs Western Kentucky CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Delaware at Western Kentucky. 2026-10-27 23:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #31. Delaware -2.5.
Delaware playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 5.6% | 11.1% | 0.7% |
Western Kentucky playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 12.1% | 17.7% | 2.4% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Georgia: 1.3% outcome swing; Western Kentucky wins
- Indiana: 1.2% outcome swing; Western Kentucky wins
- New Mexico: 0.6% outcome swing; Western Kentucky wins
- Houston: 0.4% outcome swing; Delaware wins
- Kentucky: 0.4% outcome swing; Delaware wins
Impacts if Delaware wins
- Georgia: -0.7% change; Western Kentucky wins
- Indiana: -0.7% change; Western Kentucky wins
- Kentucky: 0.4% change; Delaware wins
- New Mexico: -0.4% change; Western Kentucky wins
- Houston: 0.3% change; Delaware wins
Impacts if Western Kentucky wins
- Georgia: 0.6% change; Western Kentucky wins
- Indiana: 0.5% change; Western Kentucky wins
- LSU: -0.3% change; Delaware wins
- Tennessee: -0.3% change; Delaware wins
- Texas Tech: -0.3% change; Delaware wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Delaware wins | Western Kentucky wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 81.3% | 82.6% | 1.3% | Western Kentucky wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 91.2% | 92.4% | 1.2% | Western Kentucky wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | Western Kentucky wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 38.0% | 37.6% | 0.4% | Delaware wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 38.2% | 37.8% | 0.4% | Delaware wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 45.0% | 44.6% | 0.4% | Delaware wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 0.4% | Delaware wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 51.0% | 50.6% | 0.4% | Delaware wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 0.4% | Delaware wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 44.1% | 44.4% | 0.3% | Western Kentucky wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 0.3% | Western Kentucky wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.3% | 62.1% | 0.2% | Delaware wins |
| Nebraska | Big Ten | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 0.2% | Western Kentucky wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 0.2% | Delaware wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 0.2% | Delaware wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 24.1% | 24.0% | 0.1% | Delaware wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% | Delaware wins |
| Auburn | SEC | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | Delaware wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 63.8% | 63.7% | 0.1% | Delaware wins |
| Cincinnati | Big 12 | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 0.1% | Delaware wins |