Missouri State vs Florida International CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Missouri State at Florida International. 2026-11-07 21:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #53. Line unavailable.
Missouri State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 1.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
Florida International playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Wake Forest: 0.6% outcome swing; Missouri State wins
- BYU: 0.3% outcome swing; Florida International wins
- UCLA: 0.3% outcome swing; Florida International wins
- UTSA: 0.3% outcome swing; Florida International wins
- Alabama: 0.2% outcome swing; Missouri State wins
Impacts if Missouri State wins
- Wake Forest: 0.4% change; Missouri State wins
- UCLA: -0.3% change; Florida International wins
- UTSA: -0.3% change; Florida International wins
- Alabama: 0.2% change; Missouri State wins
- Arizona: -0.2% change; Florida International wins
Impacts if Florida International wins
- Wake Forest: -0.2% change; Missouri State wins
- Boise State: 0.1% change; Either outcome
- BYU: 0.1% change; Florida International wins
- Kentucky: -0.1% change; Missouri State wins
- USC: 0.1% change; Florida International wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Missouri State wins | Florida International wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.7% | 45.1% | 0.6% | Missouri State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.2% | 51.5% | 0.3% | Florida International wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 45.2% | 45.5% | 0.3% | Florida International wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 0.3% | Florida International wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.7% | 76.5% | 0.2% | Missouri State wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 0.2% | Florida International wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 88.7% | 88.9% | 0.2% | Florida International wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.3% | 49.1% | 0.2% | Missouri State wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 87.9% | 87.7% | 0.2% | Missouri State wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 84.9% | 85.0% | 84.9% | 0.1% | Missouri State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 37.0% | 37.1% | 0.1% | Florida International wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 26.3% | 26.3% | 26.2% | 0.1% | Missouri State wins |
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 0.1% | Missouri State wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 18.1% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 0.1% | Missouri State wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 0.1% | Florida International wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 83.4% | 83.3% | 83.4% | 0.1% | Florida International wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| App State | Sun Belt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Arizona State | Big 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |