Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Sam Houston at Jacksonville State. 2026-11-08 00:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #56. Line unavailable.
Sam Houston playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jacksonville State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 86.1% | 89.5% | 70.1% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Liberty: 1.4% outcome swing; Jacksonville State wins
- Texas Tech: 0.7% outcome swing; Sam Houston wins
- Boise State: 0.3% outcome swing; Sam Houston wins
- Memphis: 0.3% outcome swing; Sam Houston wins
- North Texas: 0.3% outcome swing; Sam Houston wins
Impacts if Sam Houston wins
- Liberty: -0.9% change; Jacksonville State wins
- Texas Tech: 0.6% change; Sam Houston wins
- Boise State: 0.3% change; Sam Houston wins
- Memphis: 0.3% change; Sam Houston wins
- Wake Forest: -0.3% change; Jacksonville State wins
Impacts if Jacksonville State wins
- Liberty: 0.5% change; Jacksonville State wins
- North Texas: -0.2% change; Sam Houston wins
- UTSA: -0.2% change; Sam Houston wins
- New Mexico: -0.1% change; Sam Houston wins
- Texas: 0.1% change; Jacksonville State wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Sam Houston wins | Jacksonville State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 44.8% | 45.4% | 44.7% | 0.7% | Sam Houston wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 57.1% | 56.8% | 0.3% | Sam Houston wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | Sam Houston wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% | Sam Houston wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.0% | 45.3% | 0.3% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.3% | 76.5% | 0.2% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 0.2% | Sam Houston wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.6% | 51.4% | 0.2% | Sam Houston wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.3% | 49.1% | 0.2% | Sam Houston wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 69.6% | 69.8% | 0.2% | Jacksonville State wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 45.3% | 45.5% | 0.2% | Jacksonville State wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 0.2% | Sam Houston wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 84.9% | 84.8% | 84.9% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 0.1% | Sam Houston wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 26.3% | 26.2% | 26.3% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 18.1% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 0.1% | Sam Houston wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 62.2% | 62.3% | 0.1% | Jacksonville State wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |