Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 10 pregame analysis for Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee. 2026-11-07 20:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #49. Line unavailable.

Back to National Impact

Western Kentucky playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.4%1.3%0.1%

Middle Tennessee playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.3%0.5%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Indiana: 0.7% outcome swing; Western Kentucky wins
  2. Georgia: 0.5% outcome swing; Western Kentucky wins
  3. BYU: 0.4% outcome swing; Middle Tennessee wins
  4. LSU: 0.2% outcome swing; Middle Tennessee wins
  5. Ole Miss: 0.2% outcome swing; Western Kentucky wins

Impacts if Western Kentucky wins

  1. Georgia: 0.5% change; Western Kentucky wins
  2. Indiana: 0.3% change; Western Kentucky wins
  3. BYU: -0.2% change; Middle Tennessee wins
  4. Alabama: -0.1% change; Middle Tennessee wins
  5. Arizona: -0.1% change; Middle Tennessee wins

Impacts if Middle Tennessee wins

  1. Indiana: -0.4% change; Western Kentucky wins
  2. Ole Miss: -0.3% change; Western Kentucky wins
  3. BYU: 0.2% change; Middle Tennessee wins
  4. LSU: 0.2% change; Middle Tennessee wins
  5. Wake Forest: 0.2% change; Middle Tennessee wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentWestern Kentucky winsMiddle Tennessee winsSwingBetter outcome
IndianaBig Ten88.9%89.2%88.5%0.7%Western Kentucky wins
GeorgiaSEC84.9%85.4%84.9%0.5%Western Kentucky wins
BYUBig 1251.4%51.2%51.6%0.4%Middle Tennessee wins
LSUSEC49.1%49.1%49.3%0.2%Middle Tennessee wins
Ole MissSEC50.4%50.3%50.1%0.2%Western Kentucky wins
Wake ForestACC45.3%45.3%45.5%0.2%Middle Tennessee wins
AlabamaSEC76.5%76.4%76.5%0.1%Middle Tennessee wins
ArizonaBig 1212.4%12.3%12.4%0.1%Middle Tennessee wins
FloridaSEC4.5%4.5%4.6%0.1%Middle Tennessee wins
HoustonBig 1237.1%37.0%37.1%0.1%Middle Tennessee wins
IowaBig Ten12.7%12.7%12.8%0.1%Middle Tennessee wins
MissouriSEC7.0%7.0%6.9%0.1%Western Kentucky wins
Ohio StateBig Ten69.8%69.8%69.7%0.1%Western Kentucky wins
TennesseeSEC26.2%26.1%26.2%0.1%Middle Tennessee wins
Texas TechBig 1244.8%44.7%44.8%0.1%Middle Tennessee wins
UCLABig Ten45.5%45.4%45.5%0.1%Middle Tennessee wins
Air ForceMountain West0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AkronMid-American0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
App StateSun Belt0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
Arizona StateBig 120.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome