Louisiana Tech vs UL Monroe CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 7 pregame analysis for Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe. 2026-10-18 00:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #62. Louisiana Tech -14.5.

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Louisiana Tech playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.1%0.1%0.0%
Automatic bid0.1%0.1%0.0%
Conference title game39.2%40.2%23.5%

UL Monroe playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.1%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Baylor: 0.5% outcome swing; Louisiana Tech wins
  2. Houston: 0.5% outcome swing; Louisiana Tech wins
  3. Ohio State: 0.5% outcome swing; UL Monroe wins
  4. Texas Tech: 0.5% outcome swing; Louisiana Tech wins
  5. LSU: 0.4% outcome swing; Louisiana Tech wins

Impacts if Louisiana Tech wins

  1. BYU: 0.1% change; UL Monroe wins
  2. Cincinnati: -0.1% change; UL Monroe wins
  3. Clemson: 0.1% change; Louisiana Tech wins
  4. Georgia: 0.1% change; Louisiana Tech wins
  5. Nebraska: -0.1% change; UL Monroe wins

Impacts if UL Monroe wins

  1. Baylor: -0.5% change; Louisiana Tech wins
  2. Houston: -0.5% change; Louisiana Tech wins
  3. Ohio State: 0.5% change; UL Monroe wins
  4. Texas Tech: -0.5% change; Louisiana Tech wins
  5. LSU: -0.4% change; Louisiana Tech wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentLouisiana Tech winsUL Monroe winsSwingBetter outcome
BaylorBig 126.4%6.4%5.9%0.5%Louisiana Tech wins
HoustonBig 1242.0%42.0%41.5%0.5%Louisiana Tech wins
Ohio StateBig Ten78.7%78.7%79.2%0.5%UL Monroe wins
Texas TechBig 1276.2%76.2%75.7%0.5%Louisiana Tech wins
LSUSEC18.1%18.1%17.7%0.4%Louisiana Tech wins
MissouriSEC16.4%16.4%16.7%0.3%UL Monroe wins
Boise StatePac-1269.5%69.5%69.7%0.2%UL Monroe wins
James MadisonSun Belt9.9%9.9%9.7%0.2%Louisiana Tech wins
NebraskaBig Ten18.5%18.4%18.6%0.2%UL Monroe wins
OregonBig Ten17.9%17.9%18.1%0.2%UL Monroe wins
TexasSEC83.7%83.7%83.9%0.2%UL Monroe wins
USCBig Ten18.7%18.7%18.9%0.2%UL Monroe wins
BYUBig 1236.5%36.6%36.7%0.1%UL Monroe wins
CincinnatiBig 121.0%0.9%1.0%0.1%UL Monroe wins
ClemsonACC0.9%1.0%0.9%0.1%Louisiana Tech wins
Fresno StatePac-120.4%0.4%0.3%0.1%Louisiana Tech wins
GeorgiaSEC96.4%96.5%96.4%0.1%Louisiana Tech wins
IndianaBig Ten87.5%87.5%87.6%0.1%UL Monroe wins
KentuckySEC13.9%13.9%13.8%0.1%Louisiana Tech wins
Louisiana TechSun Belt0.1%0.1%0.0%0.1%Louisiana Tech wins