Southern Miss vs UL Monroe CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Southern Miss at UL Monroe. 2026-10-31 19:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #52. Line unavailable.
Southern Miss playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
UL Monroe playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- UTSA: 0.7% outcome swing; UL Monroe wins
- James Madison: 0.5% outcome swing; Southern Miss wins
- New Mexico: 0.4% outcome swing; Southern Miss wins
- Army: 0.2% outcome swing; UL Monroe wins
- BYU: 0.2% outcome swing; Southern Miss wins
Impacts if Southern Miss wins
Impacts if UL Monroe wins
- UTSA: 0.6% change; UL Monroe wins
- James Madison: -0.4% change; Southern Miss wins
- New Mexico: -0.3% change; Southern Miss wins
- Missouri: 0.2% change; UL Monroe wins
- Texas Tech: -0.2% change; Southern Miss wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Southern Miss wins | UL Monroe wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.0% | 20.7% | 0.7% | UL Monroe wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | Southern Miss wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | Southern Miss wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% | UL Monroe wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.3% | 62.1% | 0.2% | Southern Miss wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 0.2% | UL Monroe wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 50.9% | 50.7% | 0.2% | Southern Miss wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 49.8% | 49.9% | 0.1% | UL Monroe wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 24.1% | 24.0% | 0.1% | Southern Miss wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 63.8% | 63.7% | 0.1% | Southern Miss wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 82.0% | 82.1% | 0.1% | UL Monroe wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 92.0% | 91.9% | 0.1% | Southern Miss wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 37.8% | 37.9% | 0.1% | UL Monroe wins |
| Louisville | ACC | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% | UL Monroe wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 44.9% | 45.0% | 0.1% | UL Monroe wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | UL Monroe wins |
| Northwestern | Big Ten | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 0.1% | UL Monroe wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 92.3% | 92.3% | 92.2% | 0.1% | Southern Miss wins |
| Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 0.1% | Southern Miss wins |
| SMU | ACC | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 0.1% | Southern Miss wins |