Marshall vs Old Dominion CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 9 pregame analysis for Marshall at Old Dominion. 2026-10-31 17:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #51. Line unavailable.

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Marshall playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Old Dominion playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Alabama: 0.3% outcome swing; Old Dominion wins
  2. Army: 0.3% outcome swing; Old Dominion wins
  3. UCLA: 0.3% outcome swing; Marshall wins
  4. Arizona: 0.2% outcome swing; Marshall wins
  5. Houston: 0.2% outcome swing; Marshall wins

Impacts if Marshall wins

  1. Alabama: -0.3% change; Old Dominion wins
  2. Army: -0.2% change; Old Dominion wins
  3. UCLA: 0.2% change; Marshall wins
  4. Arizona: 0.1% change; Marshall wins
  5. BYU: 0.1% change; Marshall wins

Impacts if Old Dominion wins

  1. Arizona: -0.1% change; Marshall wins
  2. Army: 0.1% change; Old Dominion wins
  3. Boise State: -0.1% change; Marshall wins
  4. Houston: -0.1% change; Marshall wins
  5. Kentucky: -0.1% change; Marshall wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentMarshall winsOld Dominion winsSwingBetter outcome
AlabamaSEC49.9%49.6%49.9%0.3%Old Dominion wins
ArmyAmerican Athletic2.5%2.3%2.6%0.3%Old Dominion wins
UCLABig Ten44.3%44.5%44.2%0.3%Marshall wins
ArizonaBig 1224.0%24.1%23.9%0.2%Marshall wins
HoustonBig 1237.7%37.8%37.6%0.2%Marshall wins
LSUSEC44.9%44.8%45.0%0.2%Old Dominion wins
UTSAAmerican Athletic20.1%20.2%20.0%0.2%Marshall wins
Boise StatePac-1263.8%63.8%63.7%0.1%Marshall wins
BYUBig 1262.1%62.2%62.1%0.1%Marshall wins
FloridaSEC18.7%18.8%18.7%0.1%Marshall wins
GeorgiaSEC82.0%81.9%82.0%0.1%Old Dominion wins
KentuckySEC37.8%37.8%37.7%0.1%Marshall wins
MemphisAmerican Athletic0.4%0.4%0.5%0.1%Old Dominion wins
MiamiACC97.8%97.7%97.8%0.1%Old Dominion wins
MissouriSEC4.7%4.7%4.8%0.1%Old Dominion wins
New MexicoMountain West3.2%3.3%3.2%0.1%Marshall wins
NorthwesternBig Ten13.5%13.5%13.4%0.1%Marshall wins
SMUACC8.1%8.1%8.2%0.1%Old Dominion wins
Texas TechBig 1250.9%50.9%51.0%0.1%Old Dominion wins
Wake ForestACC14.2%14.2%14.3%0.1%Old Dominion wins