Louisiana Tech vs South Alabama CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Louisiana Tech at South Alabama. 2026-10-31 19:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #29. Line unavailable.
Louisiana Tech playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 72.4% | 88.6% | 53.6% |
South Alabama playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 13.7% | 26.9% | 1.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- LSU: 1.8% outcome swing; Louisiana Tech wins
- Kentucky: 1.5% outcome swing; South Alabama wins
- Alabama: 0.9% outcome swing; South Alabama wins
- Houston: 0.5% outcome swing; Louisiana Tech wins
- Texas Tech: 0.5% outcome swing; Louisiana Tech wins
Impacts if Louisiana Tech wins
- Kentucky: -0.7% change; South Alabama wins
- LSU: 0.7% change; Louisiana Tech wins
- Alabama: -0.5% change; South Alabama wins
- Texas Tech: 0.3% change; Louisiana Tech wins
- Army: 0.2% change; Louisiana Tech wins
Impacts if South Alabama wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Louisiana Tech wins | South Alabama wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 45.6% | 43.8% | 1.8% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 37.1% | 38.6% | 1.5% | South Alabama wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 49.4% | 50.3% | 0.9% | South Alabama wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 37.9% | 37.4% | 0.5% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 51.2% | 50.7% | 0.5% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 24.1% | 23.7% | 0.4% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 63.6% | 63.9% | 0.3% | South Alabama wins |
| Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 37.5% | 37.5% | 37.2% | 0.3% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 44.3% | 44.6% | 0.3% | South Alabama wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 82.0% | 82.2% | 0.2% | South Alabama wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% | South Alabama wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Louisville | ACC | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | South Alabama wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 0.2% | South Alabama wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.2% | South Alabama wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 95.3% | 95.2% | 95.4% | 0.2% | South Alabama wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 0.2% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 0.2% | Louisiana Tech wins |